Missed
Human trials by 2020
“Neuralink is looking to start trials on humans next year.”
“The first human received an implant from @Neuralink yesterday and is recovering well. Initial results show promising neuron spike detection.”
— Elon Musk · Jan 29, 2024 · Musk X post announcing first human implant, Jan 29 2024 ↗
The fine print
Originally 2020
The Progression
Jan 29, 2024
The promise: “The first human received an implant from @Neuralink yesterday and is recovering well. Initial results show promising neuron spike detection.” · Musk X post announcing first human implant, Jan 29 2024 ↗
Jan 28, 2024
Delivered — on time.
Today · Jun 12, 2026
Status: Delivered · on time. It happened.
On January 29, 2024, Musk announced on X that the first human had received a Neuralink implant the previous day and was recovering well, with initial results showing 'promising neuron spike detection.' The milestone arrived years behind the company's original 2020 timeline, but it arrived. The prediction is scored as delivered, resolved January 28, 2024.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-06-11- [TWEET] Musk X post announcing first human implant, Jan 29 2024
- [REPORT] axios.com
More from the feed
Missed
Missed
Human trials by late 2021
“Neuralink is working super hard to ensure implant safety & is in close communication with the FDA. If thing…”
goalposts: 2020 → 2021 · moved 1×
Delivered · Late
Human trials in 6 months (mid-2023)
“We've submitted, I think, most of our paperwork to the FDA, and we think probably in about six months we sh…”
goalposts: 2020 → 2021 → mid-2023 → 2024 · moved 2×
← Human trials in 6 months (mid-2023)
Quadriplegics control phones faster than able-bodied by 2025 →
/// The Daily Verdict
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