Pending
Grok makes a watchable movie by end of 2026
“Grok will make a movie that is at least watchable before the end of next year and really good movies in 2027.”
AI predictions, scored.
AGI next year, Grok 'crushingly good,' supercomputers and terafabs.
The Feed
12 CLAIMSPending
Pending
Great AI-generated game released by end of 2026
“The XAI game studio will release a great AI-generated game before the end of next year”
Pending
Pending
Terafab: AI5 small-batch 2026, volume 2027, a terawatt of compute/year
“We either build the Terafab, or we don't have the chips, and we need the chips, so we build the Terafab.”
Pending
Orbital satellites become lowest-cost AI compute
“Satellites with localized AI compute... will be the lowest cost way to generate AI bitstreams in <3 years.”
Missed
Missed
Grok 5 released before end of 2025
“Grok 5 will be out before the end of this year and it will be crushingly good.”
goalposts: 2025 → 2026 · moved 1×
Missed
AI smarter than any single human by end of 2025
“My guess is that we'll have AI that is smarter than any one human probably around the end of next year.”
Missed
Delivered · Late
Grok 3 by end of 2024
“Grok 3 end of year after training on 100k H100s should be really something special”
Delivered
Grok 2 comes out in August 2024
“Sadly quite true. It takes a lot of work to purge LLMs from the Internet training data. Grok 2, which comes…”
Delivered
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