Cancelled
Humans on Mars by 2026
“Highly confident SpaceX will land humans on Mars about six years from now. If we get lucky, maybe four years.”
goalposts: 2024 → 2026 · moved 1×
“I think, if things go according to plan, we should be able to launch people probably in 2024, with arrival in 2025.”
— Elon Musk · Jun 2, 2016 · Code Conference 2016 full interview (Recode/On with Kara Swisher YouTube) ↗
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT — CODE CONFERENCE 2016 FULL INTERVIEW (RECODE/ON WITH KARA SWISHER YOUTUBE)
The Progression
Jun 2, 2016
The promise: “I think, if things go according to plan, we should be able to launch people probably in 2024, with arrival in 2025.” · Code Conference 2016 full interview (Recode/On with Kara Swisher YouTube) ↗
Dec 31, 2024
Deadline passed.
Today · Jun 12, 2026
Status: Missed · 528 days past due. Never happened.
At the Code Conference in June 2016, Musk said that if things went according to plan, SpaceX should be able to launch people to Mars 'probably in 2024, with arrival in 2025.' The forecast put crewed interplanetary flight less than a decade away. The 2024 window closed with no crewed Mars launch.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-06-11- [VIDEO] Code Conference 2016 full interview (Recode/On with Kara Swisher YouTube)
- [REPORT] spaceflightnow.com
More from the feed
Cancelled
Pending
Humans on Mars 2029 (possibly 2031)
“If those landings go well, then human landings may start as soon as 2029, although 2031 is more likely.”
goalposts: 2024 → 2026 → 2029 · moved 2×
Pending
1 million people on Mars
“SpaceX has stated its goal is to colonize Mars with one million people.”
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