MissedHumans on Mars
“I think, if things go according to plan, we should be able to launch people probably in 2024, with arrival …”
goalposts: 2024 → 2025 → 2026 · moved 2×
“If those landings go well, then human landings may start as soon as 2029, although 2031 is more likely.”
— Elon Musk · Mar 15, 2025 · Musk X post, Mar 15 2025 (same post as starship-to-mars-late-2026) ↗
See his original post on XLoads Elon's actual tweet, right here.
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The Progression
Mar 15, 2025
The promise: “If those landings go well, then human landings may start as soon as 2029, although 2031 is more likely.” · Musk X post, Mar 15 2025 (same post as starship-to-mars-late-2026) ↗
2029
Timeline pushed to 2029.
Goalpost #1
Goalpost #1
2031
Timeline pushed to 2031.
Goalpost #2
Goalpost #2
Today · Jul 27, 2026
Status: Pending · 1,983 days left. Still waiting.
In the same March 2025 X post that targeted an uncrewed Starship for Mars in late 2026, Musk said human landings 'may start as soon as 2029, although 2031 is more likely.' Crewed-landing targets had already moved twice, from 2024 to 2026 to 2029. The prediction remains pending against a 2029 deadline.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-07-09- [TWEET] Musk X post, Mar 15 2025 (same post as starship-to-mars-late-2026)
- [REPORT] ladbible.com
- [VIDEO] Sean Hannity Show interview, Gov. Greg Abbott guest-hosting (Jul 8 2026) @ 10:06
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