PendingOrbital satellites become lowest-cost AI compute
“Satellites with localized AI compute... will be the lowest cost way to generate AI bitstreams in <3 years.”
“Completely trained from scratch new models will be released by @SpaceX every month this year.”
— Elon Musk · Jun 28, 2026 · Elon Musk on X (@elonmusk), June 28 2026 ↗
See his original post on XLoads Elon's actual tweet, right here.
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The fine print
Said in the same tweet announcing Grok 4.5 (built on the 1.5T V9 foundation model) entering private beta at SpaceX & Tesla. The '@SpaceX' tag matches press reporting that the freshly-trained models will ship 'via SpaceX'; the cadence claim — a completely-from-scratch model each month through year-end — is the falsifiable part.
The Progression
Jun 28, 2026
The promise: “Completely trained from scratch new models will be released by @SpaceX every month this year.” · Elon Musk on X (@elonmusk), June 28 2026 ↗
Today · Jun 29, 2026
Status: Pending · 185 days left. Still waiting.
On June 28, 2026, while announcing that Grok 4.5 had entered private beta at SpaceX and Tesla, Musk said completely-from-scratch new AI models would be released every month for the rest of the year. The claim sets an aggressive monthly cadence of ground-up model training that far outpaces typical industry release schedules, where frontier labs usually ship a new foundation model once or twice a year. It is falsifiable at year-end: it holds only if a genuinely from-scratch-trained model ships in each remaining month of 2026.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-06-29More from the feed
Pending
MissedGrok 5 released before end of 2025
“Grok 5 will be out before the end of this year and it will be crushingly good.”
goalposts: 2025 → 2026 · moved 1×
PendingGrok makes a watchable movie by end of 2026
“Grok will make a movie that is at least watchable before the end of next year and really good movies in 2027.”
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