PendingOrbital satellites become lowest-cost AI compute
“Satellites with localized AI compute... will be the lowest cost way to generate AI bitstreams in <3 years.”
“Grok 5 will be out before the end of this year and it will be crushingly good.”
— Elon Musk · Aug 7, 2025 · Musk X post on Grok 5, Aug 7 2025 ↗
See his original post on XLoads Elon's actual tweet, right here.
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What actually happened
Confirmed missed, and the slip continues: Musk re-promised Grok 5 for 'Q1 sometime' in November 2025, Q1 2026 also passed without a release, and as of late June 2026 the ~6T-parameter model is still in training with no official release date — a public beta was informally expected in the May/June 2026 window that is now closing (xAI shipped Grok Voice on June 4, 2026, but not Grok 5). Techmeme — Elon Musk says Grok 5 would be released 'in Q1 sometime' (via The Information) ↗
The Progression
Aug 7, 2025
The promise: “Grok 5 will be out before the end of this year and it will be crushingly good.” · Musk X post on Grok 5, Aug 7 2025 ↗
2026
Timeline pushed to 2026.
Goalpost #1
Goalpost #1
Dec 31, 2025
Deadline passed. Confirmed missed, and the slip continues: Musk re-promised Grok 5 for 'Q1 sometime' in November 2025, Q1 2026 also passed without a release, and as of late June 2026 the ~6T-parameter model is still in training with no official release date — a public beta was informally expected in the May/June 2026 window that is now closing (xAI shipped Grok Voice on June 4, 2026, but not Grok 5). Techmeme — Elon Musk says Grok 5 would be released 'in Q1 sometime' (via The Information) ↗
Today · Jul 16, 2026
Status: Missed · 197 days past due. Never happened.
Grok 5 released before end of 2025 was promised in August 2025 with the claim it will be crushingly good. AI enthusiasts and xAI users are waiting for this advanced model surpassing competitors. This follows xAI's pattern of rapid Grok iterations. The release matters for pushing AI boundaries, potentially leading to superior reasoning and multimodal capabilities.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-07-16More from the feed
Pending
PendingGrok makes a watchable movie by end of 2026
“Grok will make a movie that is at least watchable before the end of next year and really good movies in 2027.”
PendingGreat AI-generated game released by end of 2026
“The XAI game studio will release a great AI-generated game before the end of next year”
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