Pending
Optimus V3 unveiled within a few months (mid-2026)
“We will probably unveil Optimus 3 in a few months. I think it's going to be quite surprising to people.”
Robots predictions, scored.
Optimus: from dancing human in a suit to the thing 80% of Tesla's value rides on.
The Feed
19 CLAIMSPending
Pending
Optimus V3 production starts late July/August 2026
“Start of production is, we're assuming, somewhere around the late July, August timeframe.”
Pending
Optimus high-volume external production 2026
“In 2026, ramping up production quite a bit. And at that point, we'll be providing Optimus robots to outside…”
Pending
Optimus production line 1 million units by end of 2026
“We're going to be building a million units Optimus production line, hopefully with the production start tow…”
Pending
Pending
Optimus $20-30k price point
“An Optimus robot could cost between $20,000 and $30,000, or less than a car in the long term.”
Pending
Optimus 1 million units/year in 5-6 years
“It's probably on the order of five years, maybe six to get to a million units a year.”
Pending
Optimus 10x production ramp each year
“If we aspire to an order of magnitude ramp per year, perhaps we only end up with a half order of magnitude …”
Pending
Optimus under $20000
“It is expected to cost much less than a car. I would say, probably less than $20,000, would be my guess.”
Pending
Robovan will be produced (no timeline given)
“We’re going to make this, and it’s going to look like that.”
Pending
Fremont S/X lines become an Optimus factory making 1M robots/year
“We are going to take the Model S and X production space in our Fremont factory and convert that into an Opt…”
Missed
1,000+ Optimus robots in Tesla factories by 2025
“My prediction is next year we'll have over 1,000, maybe a few thousand, Optimus robots working at Tesla.”
Missed
5,000 Optimus robots in 2025
“The normal internal plan calls for roughly 10,000 Optimus robots to be built this year. Will we succeed in …”
Missed
Genuinely useful Optimus robots inside Tesla in 2025
“Tesla will have genuinely useful humanoid robots in low production for Tesla internal use next year and, ho…”
Missed
Optimus production ready by 2023
“I think we have a shot at being in production for version one of Optimus hopefully next year.”
Missed
Optimus doing factory tasks by 2022
“Tesla's humanoid robot, Optimus, would be operational in factories by 2022.”
Delivered
Optimus performing factory tasks 2024
“Optimus is already performing tasks in our factory.”
Delivered
Optimus prototype by 2022
“We're also good at sensors and batteries and we'll probably have a prototype next year that looks like this.”
Disputed
Optimus robots at We Robot event were autonomous
“Optimus robots were on display for audience members to interact with.”
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