Notes & analysis.

What the data says, written down. Every note is computed from the live tracker — 185 predictions, every claim cited to Elon Musk's own words — and links its receipts.

2026-07-09
117 of Elon Musk's dated predictions have now resolved. 19 landed on time. The other 84% ran late, shrank, or never showed — here's the full split, with receipts.
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