Missed90% autopilot capable by 2015
“A Tesla car next year will probably be 90-percent capable of autopilot. Like, so 90 percent of your miles c…”
“The single biggest expansion in production will be the Cybercab, which starts production in Q2 next year.”
— Elon Musk · Oct 23, 2025 · Tesla Q3 2025 earnings call transcript (Motley Fool), Oct 22 2025 ↗
What actually happened
Cybercab production began at Giga Texas — first unit reportedly rolled off the line February 17, 2026, and Musk confirmed the start on the Q1 2026 earnings call (April 23) — but it is a slow pilot ramp, not mass production. Musk himself warned initial output would 'crawl' due to new supply chains, with exponential scaling hoped for by year-end. Mass production will not be achieved by the June 30, 2026 deadline. Electrek — Tesla confirms Cybercab production has started despite delays in unsupervised driving ↗
The Progression
Oct 23, 2025
The promise: “The single biggest expansion in production will be the Cybercab, which starts production in Q2 next year.” · Tesla Q3 2025 earnings call transcript (Motley Fool), Oct 22 2025 ↗
Apr 23, 2026
Partial — on time. Cybercab production began at Giga Texas — first unit reportedly rolled off the line February 17, 2026, and Musk confirmed the start on the Q1 2026 earnings call (April 23) — but it is a slow pilot ramp, not mass production. Musk himself warned initial output would 'crawl' due to new supply chains, with exponential scaling hoped for by year-end. Mass production will not be achieved by the June 30, 2026 deadline. Electrek — Tesla confirms Cybercab production has started despite delays in unsupervised driving ↗
Today · Jun 18, 2026
Status: Partial · on time. Sort of happened.
Cybercab mass production Q2 2026 was unveiled in October 2025 with the announcement that it will commence production in the second quarter of next year, featuring no steering wheel or pedals and optimized for autonomous driving to achieve the lowest cost per mile. Investors and the market are waiting, as this primary growth driver is expected to fuel Tesla's push toward an annualized production capacity of 3 million vehicles within 24 months. This follows Tesla's pattern of ambitious predictions for new products like Robotaxi expansions and Optimus robot timelines, which have seen adjustments but underscore the company's focus on AI-driven breakthroughs in real-world applications. The mass production of Cybercab matters as it aims to meet strong demand for safe, affordable autonomous transportation, enabling users to safely use their phones during rides and potentially transforming the transportation industry through unsupervised full self-driving technology.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-06-18- [TRANSCRIPT] Tesla Q3 2025 earnings call transcript (Motley Fool), Oct 22 2025
- [REPORT] news.futunn.com
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