Missed90% autopilot capable by 2015
“A Tesla car next year will probably be 90-percent capable of autopilot. Like, so 90 percent of your miles c…”
“We are expecting to have no safety drivers in at least large parts of Austin by the end of this year.”
— Elon Musk · Oct 23, 2025 · Tesla Q3 2025 earnings call transcript (Motley Fool), Oct 22 2025 ↗
What actually happened
Empty-vehicle testing began Dec 13–15, 2025; public rides with no safety monitor began Jan 22, 2026 (with chase cars); full ~245 sq mi Austin metro coverage arrived June 3, 2026 — months past the 'about three weeks' window. TechCrunch — Tesla starts testing robotaxis in Austin with no safety driver ↗
The Progression
Oct 23, 2025
The promise: “We are expecting to have no safety drivers in at least large parts of Austin by the end of this year.” · Tesla Q3 2025 earnings call transcript (Motley Fool), Oct 22 2025 ↗
Jun 3, 2026
Delivered · Late — 0.4 years late. Empty-vehicle testing began Dec 13–15, 2025; public rides with no safety monitor began Jan 22, 2026 (with chase cars); full ~245 sq mi Austin metro coverage arrived June 3, 2026 — months past the 'about three weeks' window. TechCrunch — Tesla starts testing robotaxis in Austin with no safety driver ↗
Today · Jun 18, 2026
Status: Delivered · Late · 0.4 years late. It happened — eventually.
Driverless robotaxis in Austin by end of 2025 was unveiled in October 2025 with the notable detail 'We expect that by the end of this year, autonomous taxis in most areas of Austin will no longer require safety drivers.' Millions of Tesla owners and urban commuters are waiting and involved in this autonomous driving transformation. This follows Tesla's pattern of ambitious Full Self-Driving predictions, backed by over 250,000 driverless miles in Austin and plans for 8-10 new markets. This milestone matters as it accelerates AI-driven sustainable transportation, potentially slashing costs per mile via Cybercab production starting Q2 2026 and enabling safer, phone-friendly rides that could reshape global mobility.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-06-11- [TRANSCRIPT] Tesla Q3 2025 earnings call transcript (Motley Fool), Oct 22 2025
- [REPORT] news.futunn.com
- [REPORT] Futu summary (existing source)
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