MissedHumans on Mars
“I think, if things go according to plan, we should be able to launch people probably in 2024, with arrival …”
goalposts: 2024 → 2025 → 2026 · moved 2×
“A legion of Optimi combined with solar panels will constitute the first Von Neumann probe”
— Elon Musk · Jun 17, 2026 · @elonmusk on X ↗
See his original post on XLoads Elon's actual tweet, right here.
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The fine print
No timeframe given — an open-ended, very-long-horizon vision claim.
The Progression
Jun 17, 2026
The promise: “A legion of Optimi combined with solar panels will constitute the first Von Neumann probe” · @elonmusk on X ↗
Today · Jul 20, 2026
Status: Pending · no deadline given. Still waiting.
On June 17, 2026, Musk claimed that a legion of Optimus robots combined with solar panels would constitute the first Von Neumann probe — a self-replicating spacecraft able to spread through the galaxy. He gave no timeline, framing it as a long-horizon vision for Tesla's humanoid robots in space rather than a dated commitment.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-06-17- [TWEET] @elonmusk on X
More from the feed
Missed
PendingHumans on Mars 2029 (possibly 2031)
“If those landings go well, then human landings may start as soon as 2029, although 2031 is more likely.”
goalposts: 2028 → 2029 → 2031 · moved 2×
Pending1 million people on Mars
“The minimum threshold for a self-sustaining civilization on Mars would be one million people, and you could…”
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