AI illustration: 1 million tons to orbit possible within ~5 years
Pending

1 million tons to orbit possible within ~5 years

“1M tons to orbit should be possible in roughy 5 years”
— Elon Musk · Jun 10, 2026 · @elonmusk on X ↗
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The fine print

His tweet preserves the typo 'roughy'.

The Progression

Jun 10, 2026
The promise: “1M tons to orbit should be possible in roughy 5 years” · @elonmusk on X ↗
Today · Jul 16, 2026
Status: Pending · 1,994 days left. Still waiting.

On June 10, 2026, discussing a SpaceX long-term valuation model covering Starship and orbital infrastructure, Musk predicted that lofting one million tons to orbit should be possible in roughly five years — around 2031. The claim implies a dramatic increase in Starship launch cadence and payload mass from current levels, and underpins his vision of orbital data centers and large-scale space industry.

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LAST CHECKED 2026-06-26

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