AI illustration: 500,000 cars in 2019
Missed

500,000 cars in 2019

“Tesla made 0 cars in 2011, but will make around 500k in 2019”
The fine print

Clarified to mean annualized rate, actual ~367,500

The Progression

Feb 20, 2019
The promise: “Tesla made 0 cars in 2011, but will make around 500k in 2019” · Musk tweet, Feb 19 2019 (the SEC-contempt tweet) ↗
Dec 31, 2019
Deadline passed.
Today · Jun 12, 2026
Status: Missed · 2,355 days past due. Never happened.

In a February 2019 tweet — the one that prompted an SEC contempt filing — Musk wrote that Tesla 'made 0 cars in 2011, but will make around 500k in 2019.' He corrected it hours later to mean an annualized production rate of about 500,000 by year-end, with deliveries around 400,000. Actual 2019 production came to roughly 367,500 vehicles, and the prediction was missed.

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LAST CHECKED 2026-06-11

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