Pending
Pending
New Tesla Roadster demo postponed to October 15, 2026
“New Tesla Roadster Unveil 10.01”
goalposts: 2026-10-01 (New Tesla Roadster Unveil 10.01) → 2026-10-15 (postponed by 2 weeks / QT Tesla Oct 15) · moved 1×
Elon Musk promised the first autonomous factory-to-customer delivery by Jun 30, 2025. It happened on time.
First Tesla? Our referral includes 3 months of FSD (Supervised) for first-time buyers.Get a Tesla →
Get an email when this verdict changes. The Daily Verdict covers every change on the board, this one included, and only goes out on days something happens.
“Next month, first self-delivery from factory to customer.”
— Elon Musk · May 29, 2025 · @elonmusk on X ↗
See his original post on XLoads Elon's actual tweet, right here.
Show ▾
What actually happened
Tesla completed its first fully autonomous factory-to-customer delivery of a Model Y in Austin on June 27, 2025 — no human in the vehicle, one day ahead of schedule.
The Progression
May 29, 2025
The promise: “Next month, first self-delivery from factory to customer.” · @elonmusk on X ↗
Jun 27, 2025
Delivered — on time. Tesla completed its first fully autonomous factory-to-customer delivery of a Model Y in Austin on June 27, 2025 — no human in the vehicle, one day ahead of schedule.
Today · Oct 14, 2026
Status: Delivered · on time. It happened.
Tesla completed its first fully autonomous factory-to-customer delivery of a Model Y in Austin on June 27, 2025 — no human in the vehicle, one day ahead of schedule.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-07-01- [TWEET] @elonmusk on X
Shopping for a Tesla? See is a Tesla worth it, Tesla lease prices and the Tesla referral code.
Tesla’s record
Delivered
84
46% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
98
Deadline passed, still no-show.
More Full Self-Driving predictions
- FSD v15: Elon promises a full rewrite by end of 2026Pending
- How many Teslas have FSD? Elon predicts millions autonomousPending
- Unsupervised FSD release date: hundreds of thousands byPending
- Tesla Semi self-driving: Elon says by Mar 31, 2027Pending
- Almost all new cars autonomous within 10 years (by 2027)Pending
- Half of all miles driven are autonomous in five years (byPending
- Talk to Grok in FSD within ~3 monthsMissed
- FSD in Europe: supervised approval promised by Feb 2026Delivered · Late
- Tesla cross-country self-driving: promised for 2017Partial
- FSD Unsupervised: TX and CA in 2025, partly deliveredPartial
- Tesla Banish: auto-parking after drop-off, partly deliveredPartial
- FSD update: the 'step-change' Elon promised for Sep 2025Delivered · Late
Read next
Also Tesla, resolves soonest
PendingAlso Tesla, resolves soonest
Pending
Pending
Owner cars added to robotaxi network next year (2026)
“I'd say confidently next year. I'm not sure when next year, but confidently next year, people would be able…”
Also Tesla, resolves soonest
Pending
Pending
Optimus high-volume external production 2026
“In 2026, ramping up production quite a bit. And at that point, we'll be providing Optimus robots to outside…”
/// The Daily Verdict
Know the moment a prediction lands — or doesn't.
One email a day, only when something changes: a new promise, a blown deadline, a goalpost move, or a rare on-time delivery. No spam, instant unsubscribe.
Discussion