AI illustration: FSD price will keep increasing
Missed

FSD price will keep increasing

“The FSD price will continue to rise as the software gets closer to full self-driving capability with regulatory approval. At that point, the value of FSD is probably somewhere in excess of $100,000.”
— Elon Musk · May 18, 2020 · Elon Musk on X, May 18 2020 ↗
See his original post on XLoads Elon's actual tweet, right here.
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What actually happened

Musk predicted on May 18, 2020 that FSD's price would keep rising toward a value 'in excess of $100,000' as it neared regulatory-approved full self-driving. The one-time FSD price instead peaked at $15,000 in September 2022, then fell to $12,000 (2023) and $8,000 (2024), and Tesla shifted new buyers to a $99/month subscription by February 2026. The price never approached $100,000 and FSD never achieved approved full autonomy. Not a Tesla App — Tesla FSD Cost and Price Increase History ↗

The Progression

May 18, 2020
The promise: “The FSD price will continue to rise as the software gets closer to full self-driving capability with regulatory approval. At that point, the value of FSD is probably somewhere in excess of $100,000.” · Elon Musk on X, May 18 2020 ↗
Dec 31, 2024
Deadline passed. Musk predicted on May 18, 2020 that FSD's price would keep rising toward a value 'in excess of $100,000' as it neared regulatory-approved full self-driving. The one-time FSD price instead peaked at $15,000 in September 2022, then fell to $12,000 (2023) and $8,000 (2024), and Tesla shifted new buyers to a $99/month subscription by February 2026. The price never approached $100,000 and FSD never achieved approved full autonomy. Not a Tesla App — Tesla FSD Cost and Price Increase History ↗
Today · Sep 17, 2026
Status: Missed · 625 days past due. Never happened.
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LAST CHECKED 2026-07-13

Tesla’s record

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47
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Missed
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Deadline passed, still no-show.
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