Missed90% autopilot capable by 2015
“A Tesla car next year will probably be 90-percent capable of autopilot. Like, so 90 percent of your miles c…”
“Tentatively, June 22.”
— Elon Musk · Jun 11, 2025 · Elon Musk on X, June 10 2025 ↗
What actually happened
Tesla launched paid robotaxi rides in Austin on June 22, 2025, using about ten Model Y SUVs in a geofenced South Austin area. Each car carried a Tesla 'safety monitor' in the front passenger seat who could halt the vehicle, so the launch was supervised rather than fully driverless. KVUE / Wikipedia (Tesla Robotaxi) ↗
The Progression
Jun 11, 2025
The promise: “Tentatively, June 22.” · Elon Musk on X, June 10 2025 ↗
Jun 22, 2025
Partial — on time. Tesla launched paid robotaxi rides in Austin on June 22, 2025, using about ten Model Y SUVs in a geofenced South Austin area. Each car carried a Tesla 'safety monitor' in the front passenger seat who could halt the vehicle, so the launch was supervised rather than fully driverless. KVUE / Wikipedia (Tesla Robotaxi) ↗
Today · Jun 18, 2026
Status: Partial · on time. Sort of happened.
Robotaxi launch Austin June 2025 was unveiled in June 2025 with the notable detail 'Tesla Robotaxi service launched in Austin with safety monitors in passenger seat.'. Millions of Tesla enthusiasts and potential riders are waiting for this autonomous ride-hailing innovation to transform urban transportation. This follows Tesla's pattern of similar predictions, such as the 2019 Autonomy Day vision for feature-complete full self-driving by 2020. The service utilizes Tesla's Full Self-Driving software on vehicles like the Model Y, marking a key step in Elon Musk's long-term strategy for a shared autonomous network.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-06-18- [TWEET] Elon Musk on X, June 10 2025
- [REPORT] interestingengineering.com
- [REPORT] CNBC, June 10 2025
- [TWEET] Launch-day post, June 22 2025: '$4.20 flat fee' robotaxi launch announcement
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