Missed
90% autopilot capable by 2015
“A Tesla car next year will probably be 90-percent capable of autopilot. Like, so 90 percent of your miles c…”
“Full self-driving reliable enough that you do not need to pay attention, in our opinion, won't be available until the end of next year.”
— Elon Musk · Oct 23, 2019 · Tesla Q3 2019 earnings call transcript (Motley Fool), Oct 23 2019 ↗
The Progression
Oct 23, 2019
The promise: “Full self-driving reliable enough that you do not need to pay attention, in our opinion, won't be available until the end of next year.” · Tesla Q3 2019 earnings call transcript (Motley Fool), Oct 23 2019 ↗
Dec 31, 2020
Deadline passed.
Today · Jun 12, 2026
Status: Missed · 1,989 days past due. Never happened.
On Tesla's Q3 2019 earnings call in October 2019, Musk predicted full self-driving 'reliable enough that you do not need to pay attention' would arrive by the end of 2020. That would have meant true eyes-off driving for Tesla owners roughly fourteen months later. The deadline passed without attention-free FSD being released.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-06-11- [TRANSCRIPT] Tesla Q3 2019 earnings call transcript (Motley Fool), Oct 23 2019
- [REPORT] techcrunch.com
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