AI illustration: Optimus 1 million units/year in 5-6 years
TeslaRobots
Pending

Optimus 1 million units/year in 5-6 years

“It's probably on the order of five years, maybe six to get to a million units a year.”
— Elon Musk · Oct 1, 2024 · Elon Musk | All-In Summit 2024 (All-In Podcast YouTube), recorded Sept 9 2024, episode published Oct 8 2024 ↗
Video: Elon Musk | All-In Summit 2024 (All-In Podcast YouTube), recorded Sept 9 2024, episode published Oct 8 2024
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT — ELON MUSK | ALL-IN SUMMIT 2024 (ALL-IN PODCAST YOUTUBE), RECORDED SEPT 9 2024, EPISODE PUBLISHED OCT 8 2024

The Progression

Oct 1, 2024
The promise: “It's probably on the order of five years, maybe six to get to a million units a year.” · Elon Musk | All-In Summit 2024 (All-In Podcast YouTube), recorded Sept 9 2024, episode published Oct 8 2024 ↗
Today · Jun 12, 2026
Status: Pending · 1,663 days left. Still waiting.

Speaking at the All-In Summit in September 2024, Musk estimated Optimus production would take 'on the order of five years, maybe six' to reach a million units a year. That pace points to roughly 2030 for million-unit annual volume. The prediction remains pending against a 2030 deadline.

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