PendingTalk to Grok in FSD within ~3 months
“This functionality will be there in about 3 months or so.”
“It's probably on the order of five years, maybe six to get to a million units a year.”
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT @ 49:43 — ELON MUSK | ALL-IN SUMMIT 2024 (ALL-IN PODCAST YOUTUBE), RECORDED SEPT 9 2024, EPISODE PUBLISHED OCT 8 2024
What actually happened
Fetched Sep 9 2026: Wikipedia Optimus still has no million-unit-year output. Tesla's Q1 2026 update described first-generation Fremont lines designed for 1 million robots a year and a Texas line aimed at 10 million starting 2027, but V3 remains unrevealed and mass production has not begun at that scale. Deadline 2030. Status stays pending. Wikipedia — Optimus (fetched Sep 9 2026): V3 unrevealed; 1M/year is still a design target, not output ↗
The Progression
Oct 1, 2024
The promise: “It's probably on the order of five years, maybe six to get to a million units a year.” · Elon Musk | All-In Summit 2024 (All-In Podcast YouTube), recorded Sept 9 2024, episode published Oct 8 2024 49:43 ↗
Today · Sep 10, 2026
Status: Pending · 1,573 days left. Still waiting.
Speaking at the All-In Summit in September 2024, Musk estimated Optimus production would take 'on the order of five years, maybe six' to reach a million units a year. That pace points to roughly 2030 for million-unit annual volume. The prediction remains pending against a 2030 deadline.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-09-09- [VIDEO] Elon Musk | All-In Summit 2024 (All-In Podcast YouTube), recorded Sept 9 2024, episode published Oct 8 2024 @ 49:43
- [REPORT] mikekalil.com
- [TRANSCRIPT] HappyScribe transcript of the episode
Tesla’s record
Delivered
47
59% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
32
Deadline passed, still no-show.
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