Missed90% autopilot capable by 2015
“A Tesla car next year will probably be 90-percent capable of autopilot. Like, so 90 percent of your miles c…”
“Probably we'll have a thousand cars or more in the Bay Area by the end of this year, probably 500 or more in the greater Austin area.”
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT — ALL-IN PODCAST: 'ELON MUSK: OPENAI BETRAYAL, HIS FUTURE AT TESLA, AND THE NEXT BIG THING — GROKIPEDIA' (OCT 31, 2025)
What actually happened
Austin ended 2025 with roughly 60-72 robotaxis, nowhere near the 500+ Musk predicted on the Oct 2025 earnings call. Musk had already slashed the Austin target to ~60 in November 2025, and by June 2026 Bloomberg counted just 59 active robotaxis across Tesla's entire three-city network (Austin, Dallas, Houston). Bloomberg — Tesla Robotaxi Fleet Totals Just 59 Vehicles Despite Musk Promises ↗
The Progression
Oct 31, 2025
The promise: “Probably we'll have a thousand cars or more in the Bay Area by the end of this year, probably 500 or more in the greater Austin area.” · All-In Podcast: 'Elon Musk: OpenAI Betrayal, His Future at Tesla, and the Next Big Thing — Grokipedia' (Oct 31, 2025) ↗
Dec 31, 2025
Deadline passed. Austin ended 2025 with roughly 60-72 robotaxis, nowhere near the 500+ Musk predicted on the Oct 2025 earnings call. Musk had already slashed the Austin target to ~60 in November 2025, and by June 2026 Bloomberg counted just 59 active robotaxis across Tesla's entire three-city network (Austin, Dallas, Houston). Bloomberg — Tesla Robotaxi Fleet Totals Just 59 Vehicles Despite Musk Promises ↗
Today · Jun 18, 2026
Status: Missed · 169 days past due. Never happened.
After launching robotaxis in Austin in mid-2025, Musk told the October 2025 earnings call the fleet would reach roughly 500 cars in the greater Austin area by the end of 2025. Bloomberg counted 59 robotaxis across all of Texas in June 2026. The claim sits alongside his separate metro-area expansion promises.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-06-11- [VIDEO] All-In Podcast: 'Elon Musk: OpenAI Betrayal, His Future at Tesla, and the Next Big Thing — Grokipedia' (Oct 31, 2025)
- [REPORT] electrek.co
- [REPORT] Teslarati (quote transcription)
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