Missed
Humans on Mars by 2024
“I think, if things go according to plan, we should be able to launch people probably in 2024, with arrival …”
“I think it's important that we strive to have a self-sustaining city on Mars as soon as possible.”
— Elon Musk · Dec 1, 2020 · Axel Springer Award interview, Berlin, Dec 1 2020 (YouTube re-upload) ↗
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT — AXEL SPRINGER AWARD INTERVIEW, BERLIN, DEC 1 2020 (YOUTUBE RE-UPLOAD)
The Progression
Dec 1, 2020
The promise: “I think it's important that we strive to have a self-sustaining city on Mars as soon as possible.” · Axel Springer Award interview, Berlin, Dec 1 2020 (YouTube re-upload) ↗
Today · Jun 12, 2026
Status: Pending · 8,968 days left. Still waiting.
Accepting the Axel Springer Award in Berlin in December 2020, Musk said it was important 'that we strive to have a self-sustaining city on Mars as soon as possible.' A self-sustaining city — one that survives without resupply from Earth — is the end goal of SpaceX's Mars program. Tracked against a 2050 deadline, the prediction remains pending.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-06-11More from the feed
Missed
Cancelled
Humans on Mars by 2026
“Highly confident SpaceX will land humans on Mars about six years from now. If we get lucky, maybe four years.”
goalposts: 2024 → 2026 · moved 1×
Pending
Humans on Mars 2029 (possibly 2031)
“If those landings go well, then human landings may start as soon as 2029, although 2031 is more likely.”
goalposts: 2024 → 2026 → 2029 · moved 2×
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