Delivered · Late
All three legs landed. The Giga Shanghai building shell was completed in mid-2019, trial Model 3 production began in October, and the first 15 customer cars were delivered on December 30, 2019 — 357 days after groundbreaking, a record for a car plant in China. High-volume production followed in 2020, with roughly 150,000 vehicles built despite the pandemic. CNBC — Tesla delivers first China-made Model 3 sedans in just under a year (Dec 30, 2019) ↗
Tweeted from the muddy Shanghai groundbreaking in January 2019, this three-part timeline — building by summer, production by year-end, volume in 2020 — sounded like classic Musk over-promise. Giga Shanghai instead became the strongest counterexample in the dataset: first customer cars were handed over 357 days after groundbreaking, and the factory became Tesla's highest-volume plant. The clean win that sits opposite the Model 3 production-hell promises of 2017-2018.
Delivered · Late
Missed
Delivered · Late