PendingTalk to Grok in FSD within ~3 months
“This functionality will be there in about 3 months or so.”
“I think we'll end up with roughly 0.25 million Cybertrucks a year, but we're not -- I don't think we're going to reach that output rate next year. I think we'll probably reach it sometime in 2025.”
— Elon Musk · Oct 1, 2023 · Tesla Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript (Motley Fool) ↗
What actually happened
Tesla sold only 20,237 Cybertrucks in all of 2025 — down 48% from 38,965 in 2024 — versus the predicted 250,000/year run rate. Q4 2025 registrations were further inflated by ~1,339 trucks bought by Musk's own companies (SpaceX alone took 1,279). CBS News — Tesla Cybertruck sales plunged 48% in 2025 ↗
The Progression
Oct 1, 2023
The promise: “I think we'll end up with roughly 0.25 million Cybertrucks a year, but we're not -- I don't think we're going to reach that output rate next year. I think we'll probably reach it sometime in 2025.” · Tesla Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript (Motley Fool) ↗
Dec 31, 2025
Deadline passed. Tesla sold only 20,237 Cybertrucks in all of 2025 — down 48% from 38,965 in 2024 — versus the predicted 250,000/year run rate. Q4 2025 registrations were further inflated by ~1,339 trucks bought by Musk's own companies (SpaceX alone took 1,279). CBS News — Tesla Cybertruck sales plunged 48% in 2025 ↗
Today · Sep 10, 2026
Status: Missed · 253 days past due. Never happened.
On Tesla's Q3 2023 earnings call, Musk projected the company would reach a Cybertruck production rate of roughly 250,000 units per year sometime in 2025. Actual sales fell short by more than an order of magnitude: Tesla sold 20,237 Cybertrucks in 2025, down 48 percent from 2024, with Q4 registrations padded by about 1,339 trucks purchased by Musk's own companies.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-07-29- [TRANSCRIPT] Tesla Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript (Motley Fool)
- [REPORT] motortrend.com
Tesla’s record
Delivered
47
59% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
32
Deadline passed, still no-show.
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