Partial90% autopilot capable by 2015
“A Tesla car next year will probably be 90-percent capable of autopilot. Like, so 90 percent of your miles c…”
“We hope to get Supervised Full Self-Driving approval in Europe, hopefully next month, and then maybe a similar timing, timing for China.”
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT @ 25:30 — CONVERSATION WITH ELON MUSK | WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM ANNUAL MEETING 2026 (OFFICIAL WEF YOUTUBE CHANNEL), DAVOS, JAN 22 2026
What actually happened
Musk said at Davos (Jan 22, 2026) European FSD approval was coming 'hopefully next month.' The Dutch authority RDW granted European type approval for FSD Supervised on April 10, 2026 — about six weeks after the Feb 2026 target. Caveats: it covers FSD 'Supervised' (classified Level 2 driver assistance, not self-driving), applies in the Netherlands first with EU-wide recognition still pending, and China approval has not happened. Electrek: Tesla FSD Supervised approved in the Netherlands (Apr 10, 2026) ↗
The Progression
Jan 22, 2026
The promise: “We hope to get Supervised Full Self-Driving approval in Europe, hopefully next month, and then maybe a similar timing, timing for China.” · Conversation with Elon Musk | World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2026 (official WEF YouTube channel), Davos, Jan 22 2026 25:30 ↗
Apr 10, 2026
Delivered · Late — 41 days late. Musk said at Davos (Jan 22, 2026) European FSD approval was coming 'hopefully next month.' The Dutch authority RDW granted European type approval for FSD Supervised on April 10, 2026 — about six weeks after the Feb 2026 target. Caveats: it covers FSD 'Supervised' (classified Level 2 driver assistance, not self-driving), applies in the Netherlands first with EU-wide recognition still pending, and China approval has not happened. Electrek: Tesla FSD Supervised approved in the Netherlands (Apr 10, 2026) ↗
Today · Jul 16, 2026
Status: Delivered · Late · 41 days late. It happened — eventually.
Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos on January 22, 2026, Musk predicted European regulatory approval of FSD Supervised within a month, with China possibly on a similar timeline. The Dutch RDW approval — Europe's first — actually came on April 10, 2026, two months past his stated window, continuing a multi-year pattern of optimistic FSD-Europe timelines.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-06-26- [VIDEO] Conversation with Elon Musk | World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2026 (official WEF YouTube channel), Davos, Jan 22 2026 @ 25:30
- [REPORT] Reuters via Investing.com — Davos remarks
- [REPORT] Electrek — Netherlands RDW approval lands April 10, 2026 (resolution)
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