Delivered · LateSupervised FSD approval in Europe by Feb 2026
“We hope to get Supervised Full Self-Driving approval in Europe, hopefully next month, and then maybe a simi…”
Elon Musk promised Optimus robots on sale to the public by the end of 2027. It hasn't happened yet, with 456 days left.
“Probably sometime next year, I'd say by the end of next year, I think we'd be selling humanoid robots to the public.”
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT @ 24:02 — CONVERSATION WITH ELON MUSK | WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM ANNUAL MEETING 2026 (OFFICIAL WEF YOUTUBE CHANNEL), DAVOS, JAN 22 2026, ~24:02
What actually happened
Fetched Sep 20 2026: no public Tesla sales route, MSRP, or consumer orders for Optimus (robotpriceindex: not sold yet / no public price as of 2026-09). Wikipedia Optimus still has Generation 3 unrevealed as of the April 22 2026 Q1 call ('unveiled closer to production start'). Supply-chain reports of 2026 internal builds go to Optimus Academy, not a public store. JPMorgan's Aug 20 Fremont note still pointed to outside commercial sales in the second half of 2027. Deadline end of 2027. Status stays pending. robotpriceindex fetched Sep 20 2026 — Optimus not sold yet; no Tesla MSRP/order channel; public-sale target still 2027 ↗
The Progression
Jan 22, 2026
The promise: “Probably sometime next year, I'd say by the end of next year, I think we'd be selling humanoid robots to the public.” · Conversation with Elon Musk | World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2026 (official WEF YouTube channel), Davos, Jan 22 2026, ~24:02 24:02 ↗
Today · Oct 1, 2026
Status: Pending · 456 days left. Still waiting.
At the World Economic Forum in Davos on January 22, 2026, in conversation with BlackRock's Larry Fink, Musk said Tesla expected to begin selling Optimus humanoid robots to the public by the end of 2027 — once the robots reached very high reliability, safety and a broad range of functionality. Tesla began installing an Optimus production line at Fremont in mid-2026, with the V3 design still unrevealed as of July 2026. Whether members of the public can actually buy an Optimus by the end of 2027 is the falsifiable test.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-09-20Tesla’s record
Delivered
47
59% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
33
Deadline passed, still no-show.
More Optimus predictions
- Tesla Optimus release date: high volume by end of 2026?Pending
- Tesla Bot release date: 1 million-unit line by end of 2026?Pending
- Optimus as a surgeon: better than humans by Jan 6, 2029?Pending
- Tesla Optimus price: Elon says $20,000–30,000Pending
- Optimus: 1 million robots a year in 5–6 years?Pending
- Optimus production ramp: 10x a year, says ElonPending
- Tesla robot price: Elon says Optimus under $20,000Pending
- Humanoid robot future: 100 million in 5 years, says ElonPending
- A billion humanoid robots in 10 years? Elon says yesPending
- Von Neumann probe: Elon says Optimus robots will form onePending
- Optimus V3 release date: production promised July/Aug 2026Missed
- Optimus factory: Fremont lines to build 1M robots a yearPending
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