Missed1,000+ Optimus robots in Tesla factories by 2025
“My prediction is next year we'll have over 1,000, maybe a few thousand, Optimus robots working at Tesla.”
“Probably sometime next year, I'd say by the end of next year, I think we'd be selling humanoid robots to the public.”
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT @ 24:02 — CONVERSATION WITH ELON MUSK | WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM ANNUAL MEETING 2026 (OFFICIAL WEF YOUTUBE CHANNEL), DAVOS, JAN 22 2026, ~24:02
The fine print
Said in conversation with BlackRock's Larry Fink at Davos. 'Next year' from Jan 2026 puts the public-sale target at end of 2027. Distinct from the Optimus price ($20-30k) and production-scale predictions already tracked.
The Progression
Jan 22, 2026
The promise: “Probably sometime next year, I'd say by the end of next year, I think we'd be selling humanoid robots to the public.” · Conversation with Elon Musk | World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2026 (official WEF YouTube channel), Davos, Jan 22 2026, ~24:02 24:02 ↗
Today · Jul 3, 2026
Status: Pending · 546 days left. Still waiting.
At the World Economic Forum in Davos on January 22, 2026, in conversation with BlackRock's Larry Fink, Musk said Tesla expected to begin selling Optimus humanoid robots to the public by the end of 2027 — once the robots reached very high reliability, safety and a broad range of functionality. Tesla began installing an Optimus production line at Fremont in mid-2026, with the V3 design still unrevealed as of July 2026. Whether members of the public can actually buy an Optimus by the end of 2027 is the falsifiable test.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-07-03More from the feed
Missed
Missed5,000 Optimus robots in 2025
“The normal internal plan calls for roughly 10,000 Optimus robots to be built this year. Will we succeed in …”
PendingOptimus high-volume external production 2026
“In 2026, ramping up production quite a bit. And at that point, we'll be providing Optimus robots to outside…”
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