AI illustration: Grok 4.5 released to the public on July 9, 2026
Delivered

Grok 4.5 released to the public on July 9, 2026

“@SpaceXAI will make Grok 4.5 available to the public tomorrow. It is an Opus-class model, but faster, more token-efficient and lower cost.”
— Elon Musk · Jul 8, 2026 · Elon Musk on X (Jul 8 2026) ↗
See his original post on XLoads Elon's actual tweet, right here.
Show ▾
What actually happened

Musk announced on July 8, 2026 that xAI would make Grok 4.5 public the next day. It shipped on schedule: as of July 9, 2026 Grok 4.5 is live on the xAI API (priced $2/1M input, $6/1M output tokens), set as the default in Grok Build, available across all Cursor plan tiers, and on the SpaceXAI console (EU excluded at launch). Musk billed it as an 'Opus-class' model that is faster, more token-efficient and lower cost. xAI release notes ↗

The Progression

Jul 8, 2026
The promise: “@SpaceXAI will make Grok 4.5 available to the public tomorrow. It is an Opus-class model, but faster, more token-efficient and lower cost.” · Elon Musk on X (Jul 8 2026) ↗
Jul 9, 2026
Delivered — on time. Musk announced on July 8, 2026 that xAI would make Grok 4.5 public the next day. It shipped on schedule: as of July 9, 2026 Grok 4.5 is live on the xAI API (priced $2/1M input, $6/1M output tokens), set as the default in Grok Build, available across all Cursor plan tiers, and on the SpaceXAI console (EU excluded at launch). Musk billed it as an 'Opus-class' model that is faster, more token-efficient and lower cost. xAI release notes ↗
Today · Aug 22, 2026
Status: Delivered · on time. It happened.

On July 8, 2026 Musk said xAI (posting as @SpaceXAI) would make Grok 4.5 available to the public the next day, July 9, describing it as an 'Opus-class' model that is faster, more token-efficient and lower cost than the prior generation. The claim followed a customer beta-test program. It is a near-term, one-day release promise that resolves as soon as Grok 4.5 is publicly available.

Win the argument. Share the receipt.
The post comes pre-loaded with his quote, the clock, and the share card — one tap and it's settled.

Receipts

LAST CHECKED 2026-07-09

xAI’s record

Delivered
10
83% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
2
Deadline passed, still no-show.
Still open
15
On the clock now. All 27 xAI claims →

Read next

Also xAI, resolves soonest
Also xAI, resolves soonest
Also xAI, resolves soonest

Discussion

Loading…
← 1 gigawatt/year of space-based AI compute by end of 2027 First people on the Moon in less than 5 years →
/// The Daily Verdict
Know the moment a prediction lands — or doesn't.
One email a day, only when something changes: a new promise, a blown deadline, a goalpost move, or a rare on-time delivery. No spam, instant unsubscribe.