AI illustration: Starship V3 first flight in about 4 weeks (early April 2026)
Delivered · Late

Starship V3 first flight: 'about 4 weeks', delivered late

Elon Musk promised the first Starship V3 flight by Apr 10, 2026. It happened, but 42 days late.

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“Starship V3 first flight in about 4 weeks”
See his original post on XLoads Elon's actual tweet, right here.
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What actually happened

Musk's ~Mar 7, 2026 statement projected the first Starship V3 flight 'in about 4 weeks' (early April 2026). The flight slipped: Flight 12, the first Starship V3 launch, was scrubbed May 21 and flew May 22, 2026 from Starbase - about six weeks past the predicted window. Status: a successful-enough suborbital test with minor anomalies. Space.com: SpaceX launches Starship V3 for the first time, Flight 12 (May 22 2026) ↗

The Progression

Mar 7, 2026
The promise: “Starship V3 first flight in about 4 weeks” · Elon Musk on X — 'Starship V3 first flight in about 4 weeks' (verified @elonmusk) ↗
May 22, 2026
Delivered · Late — 42 days late. Musk's ~Mar 7, 2026 statement projected the first Starship V3 flight 'in about 4 weeks' (early April 2026). The flight slipped: Flight 12, the first Starship V3 launch, was scrubbed May 21 and flew May 22, 2026 from Starbase - about six weeks past the predicted window. Status: a successful-enough suborbital test with minor anomalies. Space.com: SpaceX launches Starship V3 for the first time, Flight 12 (May 22 2026) ↗
Today · Oct 14, 2026
Status: Delivered · Late · 42 days late. It happened — eventually.

The V3 debut is the rocket SpaceX needs flying to attempt the November-December 2026 Mars window, and Musk repeatedly compressed its timeline: '6 weeks' on January 25, 'next month' on February 21, 'about 4 weeks' on March 7, then '4 to 6 weeks' on April 3. Flight 12 — the first V3 — finally flew on May 22, 2026, reaching space and soft-splashing the ship despite an engine-out, roughly seven weeks past the March prediction.

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Receipts

LAST CHECKED 2026-06-17

SpaceX’s record

Delivered
31
38% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
51
Deadline passed, still no-show.
Still open
42
On the clock now. All 124 SpaceX claims →

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Discussion

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