Missed
Uncrewed Mars landing 2018
“Planning to send Dragon to Mars as soon as 2018. Red Dragons will inform overall Mars architecture, details…”
“Unlike SpaceX's fleet of Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy rockets, which are partially reusable, Musk's aim is to make Starship fully reusable.”
— as reported (paraphrase) · Sep 28, 2019 · SpaceX official 'Starship Update' (Starship Mk1 presentation, Boca Chica) ↗
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT — SPACEX OFFICIAL 'STARSHIP UPDATE' (STARSHIP MK1 PRESENTATION, BOCA CHICA)
The Progression
Sep 28, 2019
The promise: “Unlike SpaceX's fleet of Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy rockets, which are partially reusable, Musk's aim is to make Starship fully reusable.” · SpaceX official 'Starship Update' (Starship Mk1 presentation, Boca Chica) ↗
Today · Jun 12, 2026
Status: Pending · 202 days left. Still waiting.
At the Starship Mk1 presentation in Boca Chica in September 2019, Musk set the goal of making Starship fully reusable, unlike the partially reusable Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy. Full reusability — recovering and reflying both stages — is the program's defining design goal. The prediction is tracked against an end-of-2026 deadline and remains pending.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-06-11More from the feed
Missed
Cancelled
Starship to Mars late 2026
“Starship departs for Mars at the end of next year, carrying Optimus.”
goalposts: 2018 → 2022 → 2026 · moved 2×
Cancelled
50% chance Starship to Mars by late 2026
“I believe there is a 50 percent chance SpaceX would meet the 2026 deadline for the first mission.”
/// The Daily Verdict
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