Missed

Tesla makes 1.5 million cars in 2021 (missed)

Elon Musk promised Tesla makes 1.5 million cars in 2021 by the end of 2021. The deadline passed and it didn't happen.

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“what's my guess for 2021 is one and a half million cars for Tesla”
Video: ARK Invest podcast with Elon Musk (Feb 2019), video, ~00:06:07
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT @ 00:06:07 — ARK INVEST PODCAST WITH ELON MUSK (FEB 2019), VIDEO, ~00:06:07
What actually happened

Tesla produced about 930,000 vehicles in 2021 (936,000 delivered), well short of 1.5 million. Tesla Q4 2021 production & deliveries ↗

The Progression

Feb 19, 2019
The promise: “what's my guess for 2021 is one and a half million cars for Tesla” · ARK Invest podcast with Elon Musk (Feb 2019), video, ~00:06:07 00:06:07 ↗
Dec 31, 2021
Deadline passed. Tesla produced about 930,000 vehicles in 2021 (936,000 delivered), well short of 1.5 million. Tesla Q4 2021 production & deliveries ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Missed · 1,746 days past due. Never happened.

On the ARK Invest podcast in February 2019 Elon Musk guessed Tesla would make 1.5 million cars in 2021. It made about 930,000.

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Receipts

LAST CHECKED 2026-10-12

Tesla’s record

Delivered
84
47% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
94
Deadline passed, still no-show.
Still open
45
On the clock now. All 223 Tesla claims →

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Discussion

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