Pending

AI drives 90% of all distance driven within about 10 years

Elon Musk promised AI drives 90% of all distance driven within about 10 years (by 2036) by May 31, 2036. It hasn't happened yet, with 3,519 days left.

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“probably 90% of all distance driven will be driven by the AI in a self driving car”
— Elon Musk · May 18, 2026 · Samson International Smart Mobility Summit (Tel Aviv) (May 18, 2026), video, ~00:08:24 00:08:24 ↗
Video: Samson International Smart Mobility Summit (Tel Aviv) (May 18, 2026), video, ~00:08:24
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT @ 00:08:24 — SAMSON INTERNATIONAL SMART MOBILITY SUMMIT (TEL AVIV) (MAY 18, 2026), VIDEO, ~00:08:24
What actually happened

Pending until 2036. Wikipedia: Self-driving car ↗

The Progression

May 18, 2026
The promise: “probably 90% of all distance driven will be driven by the AI in a self driving car” · Samson International Smart Mobility Summit (Tel Aviv) (May 18, 2026), video, ~00:08:24 00:08:24 ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Pending · 3,519 days left. Still waiting.

At a May 2026 smart mobility summit Elon Musk guessed that in about 10 years 90% of all distance driven would be driven by AI.

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Receipts

LAST CHECKED 2026-10-12

Tesla’s record

Delivered
84
47% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
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Deadline passed, still no-show.
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