Pending
Pending
Grok makes a watchable movie by end of 2026
“Grok will make a movie that is at least watchable before the end of next year and really good movies in 2027.”
Elon Musk promised Grok 1.5 out the next month by Feb 29, 2024. It happened, but 28 days late.
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“Yes, Grok 1.5 should be out next month with substantial improvements across the board”
— Elon Musk · Jan 22, 2024 · @elonmusk, 2024-01-22 ↗
See his original post on XLoads Elon's actual tweet, right here.
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What actually happened
Musk said Grok 1.5 would be out in February 2024. xAI announced Grok-1.5 on March 28 2024 and rolled it out to users over the next weeks. xAI Mar 28 2024 — Announcing Grok-1.5 ↗
The Progression
Jan 22, 2024
The promise: “Yes, Grok 1.5 should be out next month with substantial improvements across the board” · @elonmusk, 2024-01-22 ↗
Mar 28, 2024
Delivered · Late — 28 days late. Musk said Grok 1.5 would be out in February 2024. xAI announced Grok-1.5 on March 28 2024 and rolled it out to users over the next weeks. xAI Mar 28 2024 — Announcing Grok-1.5 ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Delivered · Late · 28 days late. It happened — eventually.
In January 2024 Elon Musk replied that Grok 1.5 should be out the next month with big improvements. xAI announced it at the end of March.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-10-11- [TWEET] @elonmusk, 2024-01-22
xAI’s record
Delivered
14
67% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
7
Deadline passed, still no-show.
More Grok and xAI predictions
- Grok movie: Elon says a watchable film by end of 2026Pending
- AI-generated movie: Grok makes full films by end of 2026?Pending
- xAI models: a new from-scratch model every month in 2026?Pending
- xAI open-source model: 0.5T Grok by end of 2026?Pending
- xAI vs OpenAI: Elon says xAI catches up by end of 2026Pending
- Grokipedia vs Wikipedia: Elon says it wins by end of 2026Pending
- Grok Imagine video: Odyssey as a full film by end of 2026?Pending
- Grok 4.7 release date: 'in 10 days', delivered lateDelivered · Late
- Grok 4.8 training done by Sep 20, 2026: missedMissed
- Grok 4.6 release date: 'out in a week', delivered lateDelivered · Late
- Grok 4.5 release date: Elon said July 9, 2026, deliveredDelivered
- Massive Grok gains in ~3 months from C/C++ stack rewriteMissed
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Great AI-generated game released by end of 2026
“The XAI game studio will release a great AI-generated game before the end of next year”
Also xAI, resolves soonest
Pending
← Grok available to all X Premium+ subscribers next week (Nov 2023)
Dragon takes astronauts farther than anyone in 50 years, in 2024 →
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