AI illustration: Grok 5 out before end of 2026
Pending

Grok 5 out before end of 2026 (still pending)

Elon Musk promised Grok 5 out before end of 2026 by the end of 2026. It hasn't happened yet, with 80 days left.

Get an email when this verdict changes. The Daily Verdict covers every change on the board, this one included, and only goes out on days something happens.
“And then with GROK 5, which should be out before the end of this year, we will be incorporating the entire corpus of SpaceX data.”
Video: SpaceX Q2 2026 Earnings Call (August 4, 2026), video, ~00:08:08
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT @ 00:08:08 — SPACEX Q2 2026 EARNINGS CALL (AUGUST 4, 2026), VIDEO, ~00:08:08
The fine print

Interview-checklist transcript mine 2026-10-12 (spacex-q2-2026-earnings-call). Quote copied from the saved transcript research/transcripts/ema/spacex-q2-2026-earnings-call.md (ASR; bracketed words are ASR fixes); ~00:08:08 in the video.

The Progression

Aug 4, 2026
The promise: “And then with GROK 5, which should be out before the end of this year, we will be incorporating the entire corpus of SpaceX data.” · SpaceX Q2 2026 Earnings Call (August 4, 2026), video, ~00:08:08 00:08:08 ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Pending · 80 days left. Still waiting.

On SpaceX's first earnings call in August 2026 Elon Musk said Grok 5 should be out before the end of the year. It was promised for end-2025 (#107) and Q1 2026 (#120) before.

Win the argument. Share the receipt.
The post comes pre-loaded with his quote, the clock, and the share card — one tap and it's settled.

Receipts

LAST CHECKED 2026-10-12

xAI’s record

Delivered
15
68% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
7
Deadline passed, still no-show.
Still open
19
On the clock now. All 41 xAI claims →

More Grok and xAI predictions

Read next

Also xAI, resolves soonest
Also xAI, resolves soonest
Also xAI, resolves soonest

Discussion

Loading…
← SpaceX AI revenue tops all its other revenue in September 2026 About 1,000 Starlink V3 satellites in orbit around Q2 2027 →
/// The Daily Verdict
Know the moment a prediction lands — or doesn't.
One email a day, only when something changes: a new promise, a blown deadline, a goalpost move, or a rare on-time delivery. No spam, instant unsubscribe.