Pending
Pending
Terafab: AI5 small-batch 2026, volume 2027, a terawatt of compute/year
“We either build the Terafab, or we don't have the chips, and we need the chips, so we build the Terafab.”
Delivered
Elon Musk on inflation: 'it will decline by year end,' delivered
Elon Musk promised Inflation declines toward the end of 2022 by the end of 2022. It happened, but 12 days late.
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“If I were to guess, and I wouldn't take this with a grain of salt, I think inflation is will decline towards the end of this year.”
— Elon Musk · Jul 20, 2022 · Tesla Q2 2022 earnings call, 2022-07-20 (transcript) ↗
What actually happened
Musk guessed in July 2022 that inflation would decline toward year end. US CPI inflation peaked at 9.1% in June 2022 and fell to 6.5% by December. AP Jan 12 2023 — US inflation falls for a 6th month ↗
The Progression
Jul 20, 2022
The promise: “If I were to guess, and I wouldn't take this with a grain of salt, I think inflation is will decline towards the end of this year.” · Tesla Q2 2022 earnings call, 2022-07-20 (transcript) ↗
Jan 12, 2023
Delivered — 12 days late. Musk guessed in July 2022 that inflation would decline toward year end. US CPI inflation peaked at 9.1% in June 2022 and fell to 6.5% by December. AP Jan 12 2023 — US inflation falls for a 6th month ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Delivered · 12 days late. It happened.
On Tesla's July 2022 earnings call Elon Musk guessed that inflation would decline toward the end of that year as commodity prices fell. US inflation dropped from 9.1% in June to 6.5% in December.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-10-11- [TRANSCRIPT] Tesla Q2 2022 earnings call, 2022-07-20 (transcript)
General’s record
Delivered
1
20% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
4
Deadline passed, still no-show.
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