PendingTerafab: AI5 small-batch 2026, volume 2027, a terawatt of compute/year
“We either build the Terafab, or we don't have the chips, and we need the chips, so we build the Terafab.”
“Double-digit growth is coming within 12 to 18 months. If applied intelligence is proxy for economic growth, which it should be, triple-digit is possible in ~5 years.”
— Elon Musk · Dec 24, 2025 · Musk X post on double/triple-digit US growth, Dec 24 2025 ↗
The Progression
Dec 24, 2025
The promise: “Double-digit growth is coming within 12 to 18 months. If applied intelligence is proxy for economic growth, which it should be, triple-digit is possible in ~5 years.” · Musk X post on double/triple-digit US growth, Dec 24 2025 ↗
Today · Jun 18, 2026
Status: Pending · 1,650 days left. Still waiting.
US GDP growth projections tied to AI advancements and applied intelligence
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-06-11More from the feed
Pending
MissedAI smarter than any single human by end of 2025
“My guess is that we'll have AI that is smarter than any one human probably around the end of next year.”
MissedClose to zero new US COVID cases by end of April 2020
“Based on current trends, probably close to zero new cases in US too by end of April”
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