Pending
Pending
20 million cars per year by 2030
“We do see Tesla reaching 20M vehicles/year probably before 2030, but that requires consistently excellent e…”
Delivered
Tesla grows 30–40% in 2020 (delivered)
Elon Musk promised Tesla grows 30–40% in 2020 by the end of 2020. It happened on time.
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“Probably somewhere between 30 to 40% growth despite a lot of very difficult circumstances”
— Elon Musk · Sep 22, 2020 · Tesla Battery Day (September 22, 2020), video, ~00:00:06 00:00:06 ↗
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT @ 00:00:06 — TESLA BATTERY DAY (SEPTEMBER 22, 2020), VIDEO, ~00:00:06
What actually happened
Tesla delivered 499,550 vehicles in 2020, up about 36% from 367,500 in 2019. Tesla Q4 2020 production & deliveries ↗
The Progression
Sep 22, 2020
The promise: “Probably somewhere between 30 to 40% growth despite a lot of very difficult circumstances” · Tesla Battery Day (September 22, 2020), video, ~00:00:06 00:00:06 ↗
Dec 31, 2020
Delivered — on time. Tesla delivered 499,550 vehicles in 2020, up about 36% from 367,500 in 2019. Tesla Q4 2020 production & deliveries ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Delivered · on time. It happened.
At Battery Day in September 2020 Elon Musk said Tesla would probably grow 30–40% that year despite the pandemic. Deliveries rose about 36%.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-10-12- [VIDEO] Tesla Battery Day (September 22, 2020), video, ~00:00:06 @ 00:00:06
- [TRANSCRIPT] Tesla Battery Day (September 22, 2020) — Elon Musk Archive transcript @ 00:00:06
Tesla’s record
Delivered
84
47% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
94
Deadline passed, still no-show.
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