Pending
Pending
About 20 Starships launch to Mars in the 2028-29 window
“So this is a tentative game plan here where we're hoping to achieve where we increase the cadence of flight…”
Missed
Starship V3 first launch at the end of 2025 (missed)
Elon Musk promised Starship V3 first launch at the end of 2025 by the end of 2025. The deadline passed and it didn't happen.
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“version 3 of Starship which we're aiming to launch for the first time at the end of this year”
— Elon Musk · May 29, 2025 · Starship Update (May 29, 2025), video, ~00:00:00 00:00:00 ↗
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT @ 00:00:00 — STARSHIP UPDATE (MAY 29, 2025), VIDEO, ~00:00:00
What actually happened
Starship V3 did not fly in 2025. Its debut flight came in 2026 (see #131/#210). Wikipedia: List of Starship launches ↗
The Progression
May 29, 2025
The promise: “version 3 of Starship which we're aiming to launch for the first time at the end of this year” · Starship Update (May 29, 2025), video, ~00:00:00 00:00:00 ↗
Dec 31, 2025
Deadline passed. Starship V3 did not fly in 2025. Its debut flight came in 2026 (see #131/#210). Wikipedia: List of Starship launches ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Missed · 285 days past due. Never happened.
In SpaceX's May 2025 Starship update Elon Musk said Starship version 3 would launch for the first time at the end of 2025. It debuted in 2026.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-10-12- [VIDEO] Starship Update (May 29, 2025), video, ~00:00:00 @ 00:00:00
- [TRANSCRIPT] Starship Update (May 29, 2025) — Elon Musk Archive transcript @ 00:00:00
SpaceX’s record
Delivered
31
38% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
50
Deadline passed, still no-show.
More Starship and SpaceX rocket predictions
- Starship Flight 15 datePending
- Starship orbital refueling: demo promised by end of 2026Pending
- How many Starships in 2026? Elon says ~10 morePending
- Starship ship catch by the tower: moved 2 times so farPending
- SpaceX demonstrates full Starship reusability in 2026 (stillPending
- Starship reflight: first reused ship by Mar 31, 2027?Pending
- Starships landing on the Moon within about three years (byPending
- Starship daily flights: once a day by Aug 4, 2027?Pending
- Starship landing and reuse: promised 2023, moved 3 timesPending
- When will Starship carry humans? Elon says by end of 2027Pending
- Starship rapid reusability: full reflight by end of 2027?Pending
- Starship reaches a weekly or twice-weekly launch cadence inPending
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