AI illustration: $25,000 fully autonomous Tesla in ~3 years (Battery Day)
Missed

$25,000 fully autonomous Tesla in ~3 years (Battery Day)

“About 3 years from now, we're confident we can make a very compelling $25,000 electric vehicle that's also fully autonomous.”
Video: Tesla Battery Day, Sept 22 2020 (official Tesla YouTube channel, verified via YouTube oEmbed)
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT — TESLA BATTERY DAY, SEPT 22 2020 (OFFICIAL TESLA YOUTUBE CHANNEL, VERIFIED VIA YOUTUBE OEMBED)
What actually happened

No $25,000 Tesla existed by late 2023 — or since. Reuters reported in April 2024 that Tesla had scrapped the dedicated $25k 'Model 2' program in favor of the Cybercab; the cheaper 'Standard' Model 3/Y trims launched October 2025 start around $37,000, and none are fully autonomous. Reuters — Tesla scraps low-cost car plans (April 5, 2024) ↗

The Progression

Sep 22, 2020
The promise: “About 3 years from now, we're confident we can make a very compelling $25,000 electric vehicle that's also fully autonomous.” · Tesla Battery Day, Sept 22 2020 (official Tesla YouTube channel, verified via YouTube oEmbed) ↗
Sep 22, 2023
Deadline passed. No $25,000 Tesla existed by late 2023 — or since. Reuters reported in April 2024 that Tesla had scrapped the dedicated $25k 'Model 2' program in favor of the Cybercab; the cheaper 'Standard' Model 3/Y trims launched October 2025 start around $37,000, and none are fully autonomous. Reuters — Tesla scraps low-cost car plans (April 5, 2024) ↗
Today · Jun 12, 2026
Status: Missed · 0.5 years late. Never happened.

The $25,000 Tesla 'about 3 years from now' promise at Battery Day on September 22, 2020 was the headline of the event, premised on halving battery cost per kWh with the new 4680 cells. Three years later no such car existed; in April 2024 Reuters reported the low-cost 'Model 2' was scrapped for the Cybercab, and the eventual budget options were de-contented Model 3/Y trims at $37,000+. This was Musk's second $25k-car promise after the 2016 version.

Win the argument. Share the receipt.
The post comes pre-loaded with his quote, the clock, and the share card — one tap and it's settled.

Receipts

LAST CHECKED 2026-06-12

More from the feed

← Grok 2 comes out in August 2024 4680 pilot plant at 10 GWh/year within a year (Battery Day) →
/// The Daily Verdict
Know the moment a prediction lands — or doesn't.
One email a day, only when something changes: a new promise, a blown deadline, a goalpost move, or a rare on-time delivery. No spam, instant unsubscribe.