AI illustration: $25,000 fully autonomous Tesla in ~3 years (Battery Day)
Missed

$25,000 fully autonomous Tesla in ~3 years (Battery Day)

“About 3 years from now, we're confident we can make a very compelling $25,000 electric vehicle that's also fully autonomous.”
Video: Tesla Battery Day, Sept 22 2020 (official Tesla YouTube channel, verified via YouTube oEmbed)
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT @ 1:31:01 — TESLA BATTERY DAY, SEPT 22 2020 (OFFICIAL TESLA YOUTUBE CHANNEL, VERIFIED VIA YOUTUBE OEMBED)
What actually happened

At Battery Day (Sep 22, 2020) Musk promised 'a very compelling $25,000 electric vehicle that's also fully autonomous' about three years out — pointing to late 2023. Nothing arrived by then. Musk's Oct 2024 remark that a regular $25k model would be 'pointless... silly' renounced only the steering-wheel version — on the same call he affirmed the autonomous one, saying the Cybercab 'will cost roughly $25K.' That goal is demonstrably alive: the first production Cybercab was built at Giga Texas in Feb 2026, Musk confirmed a consumer version at $30k or less before 2027, and production Cybercabs without steering wheels began public-road testing in Austin on June 30, 2026. The promised $25k autonomous EV still hasn't shipped: missed, clock ticking. Teslarati — Musk confirms Cybercab ~$25–30k pricing and timeline ↗

The Progression

Sep 22, 2020
The promise: “About 3 years from now, we're confident we can make a very compelling $25,000 electric vehicle that's also fully autonomous.” · Tesla Battery Day, Sept 22 2020 (official Tesla YouTube channel, verified via YouTube oEmbed) 1:31:01 ↗
Sep 22, 2023
Deadline passed. At Battery Day (Sep 22, 2020) Musk promised 'a very compelling $25,000 electric vehicle that's also fully autonomous' about three years out — pointing to late 2023. Nothing arrived by then. Musk's Oct 2024 remark that a regular $25k model would be 'pointless... silly' renounced only the steering-wheel version — on the same call he affirmed the autonomous one, saying the Cybercab 'will cost roughly $25K.' That goal is demonstrably alive: the first production Cybercab was built at Giga Texas in Feb 2026, Musk confirmed a consumer version at $30k or less before 2027, and production Cybercabs without steering wheels began public-road testing in Austin on June 30, 2026. The promised $25k autonomous EV still hasn't shipped: missed, clock ticking. Teslarati — Musk confirms Cybercab ~$25–30k pricing and timeline ↗
Today · Jul 16, 2026
Status: Missed · 1,028 days past due. Never happened.

The $25,000 Tesla 'about 3 years from now' promise at Battery Day on September 22, 2020 was the headline of the event, premised on halving battery cost per kWh with the new 4680 cells. Three years later no such car existed; in April 2024 Reuters reported the low-cost 'Model 2' was scrapped for the Cybercab, and the eventual budget options were de-contented Model 3/Y trims at $37,000+. This was Musk's second $25k-car promise after the 2016 version.

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