Missed
90% autopilot capable by 2015
“A Tesla car next year will probably be 90-percent capable of autopilot. Like, so 90 percent of your miles c…”
“Musk said he expects the Cybercab to be in production 'probably in 2026' — 'I tend to be a little optimistic with time frames' — 'before 2027, let me put it that way', at a price below $30,000.”
— as reported (paraphrase) · Oct 10, 2024 · 'We, Robot | Tesla Cybercab Unveil', Oct 10 2024 (official Tesla YouTube channel, verified via YouTube oEmbed) ↗
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT — 'WE, ROBOT | TESLA CYBERCAB UNVEIL', OCT 10 2024 (OFFICIAL TESLA YOUTUBE CHANNEL, VERIFIED VIA YOUTUBE OEMBED)
What actually happened
Production started inside the window: the first production Cybercab rolled off the Giga Texas line on February 17, 2026, with volume ramp beginning around April 2026 under an NHTSA exemption capped at 2,500 vehicles. The sub-$30,000 price remains unproven, and Musk warned on the Q1 2026 call that the initial ramp would 'crawl'. Electrek — Tesla confirms Cybercab production has started (April 2026) ↗
The Progression
Oct 10, 2024
The promise: “Musk said he expects the Cybercab to be in production 'probably in 2026' — 'I tend to be a little optimistic with time frames' — 'before 2027, let me put it that way', at a price below $30,000.” · 'We, Robot | Tesla Cybercab Unveil', Oct 10 2024 (official Tesla YouTube channel, verified via YouTube oEmbed) ↗
Feb 17, 2026
Delivered — on time. Production started inside the window: the first production Cybercab rolled off the Giga Texas line on February 17, 2026, with volume ramp beginning around April 2026 under an NHTSA exemption capped at 2,500 vehicles. The sub-$30,000 price remains unproven, and Musk warned on the Q1 2026 call that the initial ramp would 'crawl'. Electrek — Tesla confirms Cybercab production has started (April 2026) ↗
Today · Jun 12, 2026
Status: Delivered · on time. It happened.
At the We, Robot unveil on October 10, 2024, Musk hedged the Cybercab production date with his own 'optimistic with time frames' disclaimer, landing on 'before 2027'. Tesla made the deadline: the first production unit was completed February 17, 2026 at Giga Texas. Whether the sub-$30,000 price and the promised scale materialize is still open, but the dated production claim itself was delivered.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-06-12- [VIDEO] 'We, Robot | Tesla Cybercab Unveil', Oct 10 2024 (official Tesla YouTube channel, verified via YouTube oEmbed)
- [REPORT] TechCrunch, Oct 10 2024 — 'in production by 2026 or before 2027', price below $30,000
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