Missed
Optimus doing factory tasks by 2022
“Tesla's humanoid robot, Optimus, would be operational in factories by 2022.”
“Start of production is, we're assuming, somewhere around the late July, August timeframe.”
— Elon Musk · Apr 22, 2026 · Q1 2026 earnings call quotes (Whats Up Tesla) ↗
The fine print
On the same call he said a second Optimus factory at Giga Texas would 'probably start production around summer next year' (2027) — could be split into its own entry.
The Progression
Apr 22, 2026
The promise: “Start of production is, we're assuming, somewhere around the late July, August timeframe.” · Q1 2026 earnings call quotes (Whats Up Tesla) ↗
Today · Jun 12, 2026
Status: Pending · 80 days left. Still waiting.
On the Q1 2026 call Musk put the start of Optimus V3 production on the converted Fremont Model S/X line at late July or August 2026, while warning the ramp is 'literally impossible to predict' because the robot has roughly 10,000 unique parts. It is the first time Optimus mass production has carried a month-level date.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-06-11- [TRANSCRIPT] Q1 2026 earnings call quotes (Whats Up Tesla)
- [REPORT] Seeking Alpha — Tesla targets Optimus production by late July/August
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Missed
Missed
1,000+ Optimus robots in Tesla factories by 2025
“My prediction is next year we'll have over 1,000, maybe a few thousand, Optimus robots working at Tesla.”
Missed
5,000 Optimus robots in 2025
“The normal internal plan calls for roughly 10,000 Optimus robots to be built this year. Will we succeed in …”
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