AI illustration: Memory chip shortage lasts through 2027, may ease in 2028
Pending

When will RAM prices go down? Elon says not in 2027

Elon Musk promised the memory chip shortage lasting through 2027. It hasn't happened yet, with 435 days left.

Get an email when this verdict changes. The Daily Verdict covers every change on the board, this one included, and only goes out on days something happens.
“For sure in 2027, but if China ramps LP5 & LP6 as fast as they’ve ramped other manufactured products, then 2028 will be a different story. HBM is a tougher hill to climb, however.”
— Elon Musk · Oct 16, 2026 · @elonmusk on X, Oct 16 2026 ↗
See his original post on XLoads Elon's actual tweet, right here.
Show ▾

The Progression

Oct 16, 2026
The promise: “For sure in 2027, but if China ramps LP5 & LP6 as fast as they’ve ramped other manufactured products, then 2028 will be a different story. HBM is a tougher hill to climb, however.” · @elonmusk on X, Oct 16 2026 ↗
Today · Oct 22, 2026
Status: Pending · 435 days left. Still waiting.

In October 2026, replying to a report that Dell expects the memory chip crunch to worsen, Elon Musk said the shortage will last for sure through 2027 and that 2028 could be different if China ramps LPDDR5 and LPDDR6 production quickly. The deadline has not yet passed.

Win the argument. Share the receipt.
The post comes pre-loaded with his quote, the clock, and the share card — one tap and it's settled.

Receipts

LAST CHECKED 2026-10-18

Quick answers

When will ram prices go down?

Elon Musk promised the memory chip shortage lasting through 2027. It hasn't happened yet, with 435 days left. Pending until the end of 2027.

What did Elon Musk actually say?

On Oct 16, 2026, Elon Musk said: “For sure in 2027, but if China ramps LP5 & LP6 as fast as they’ve ramped other manufactured products, then 2028 will be a different story. HBM is a tougher hill to climb, however.” (source).

General’s record

Delivered
1
17% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
5
Deadline passed, still no-show.
Still open
14
On the clock now. All 20 General claims →

Read next

Also General, resolves soonest
Also General, resolves soonest
Also General, resolves soonest

Discussion

Loading…
← SpaceX valuation exceeds $100 trillion within 10 years US economic output grows more than 50% by 2030 thanks to AI →
/// The Daily Verdict
Know the moment a prediction lands — or doesn't.
One email a day, only when something changes: a new promise, a blown deadline, a goalpost move, or a rare on-time delivery. No spam, instant unsubscribe.