AI illustration: Starship Flight 15 launches a little before Thanksgiving 2026
SpaceXSpace
Pending

Starship Flight 15 date

Elon Musk promised Starship Flight 15 launching a little before Thanksgiving 2026 by Nov 25, 2026. It hasn't happened yet, with 44 days left.

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“So we don't know the exact launch date, but probably about four weeks or so. Four to six weeks is about right. Probably launches a little bit before Thanksgiving is my guess.”
— Elon Musk · Oct 10, 2026 · Elon Musk: What Comes Next for Humanity — X Takeover 2026, Giga Texas (Tesla Owners Silicon Valley, YouTube; verified via oEmbed) ↗
Video: Elon Musk: What Comes Next for Humanity — X Takeover 2026, Giga Texas (Tesla Owners Silicon Valley, YouTube; verified via oEmbed)
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT — ELON MUSK: WHAT COMES NEXT FOR HUMANITY — X TAKEOVER 2026, GIGA TEXAS (TESLA OWNERS SILICON VALLEY, YOUTUBE; VERIFIED VIA OEMBED)
The fine print

X Takeover 2026 transcript mine 2026-10-12. Quote matched against the cited transcript/report.

The Progression

Oct 10, 2026
The promise: “So we don't know the exact launch date, but probably about four weeks or so. Four to six weeks is about right. Probably launches a little bit before Thanksgiving is my guess.” · Elon Musk: What Comes Next for Humanity — X Takeover 2026, Giga Texas (Tesla Owners Silicon Valley, YouTube; verified via oEmbed) ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Pending · 44 days left. Still waiting.

At X Takeover in Austin on October 10 2026 Elon Musk said the next Starship flight, Flight 15 with the first ship-catch attempt, was about four to six weeks away and would probably launch a little before Thanksgiving (Nov 26). Asked about two weeks, he said: 'I'm confident it's not two weeks.'

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Receipts

LAST CHECKED 2026-10-12

SpaceX’s record

Delivered
31
38% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
50
Deadline passed, still no-show.
Still open
43
On the clock now. All 124 SpaceX claims →

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