Delivered · LateDrive LA to New York on Superchargers by end of 2013
“By the end of this year, you'll be able to drive from L.A. to New York just using the Supercharger network,…”
“I'm extremely confident that solar will be at least a plurality of power, and most likely a majority, and I predict it will be a plurality in less than 20 years.”
— Elon Musk · Feb 27, 2013 · TED 2013 — 'The mind behind Tesla, SpaceX, SolarCity' (Chris Anderson interview) 11:17 ↗
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT @ 11:17 — TED 2013 — 'THE MIND BEHIND TESLA, SPACEX, SOLARCITY' (CHRIS ANDERSON INTERVIEW)
What actually happened
Fetched Sep 9 2026: EIA Energy Explained (2025 preliminary) puts natural gas at about 41% of U.S. utility-scale generation and utility-scale solar at about 6.7% (plus ~93 TWh small-scale solar). Natural gas remains the plurality. Choose Energy's June 2026 EIA-based snapshot puts solar at ~12.1% of that month's generation — still well behind gas. Deadline Feb 27 2033. Status stays pending. EIA Energy Explained (fetched Sep 9 2026): 2025 utility-scale solar ~6.7%; natural gas still plurality ↗
The Progression
Feb 27, 2013
The promise: “I'm extremely confident that solar will be at least a plurality of power, and most likely a majority, and I predict it will be a plurality in less than 20 years.” · TED 2013 — 'The mind behind Tesla, SpaceX, SolarCity' (Chris Anderson interview) 11:17 ↗
Today · Sep 10, 2026
Status: Pending · 2,362 days left. Still waiting.
At the TED 2013 conference, while chairman of SolarCity, Musk told Chris Anderson he had bet that solar would become the single largest source of US electricity within about 18-20 years. Solar generation has grown rapidly since, but supplied roughly 7% of US electricity by the mid-2020s, while natural gas remained the largest source. The 20-year window runs to early 2033.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-09-09Tesla’s record
Delivered
47
59% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
32
Deadline passed, still no-show.
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