Overdue
Overdue
SpaceX AI revenue tops all its other revenue in September 2026
“The wild thing is that probably our AI revenue, not probably, definitely our AI revenue will exceed all oth…”
Elon Musk promised Falcon 9 first launch later in 2009 from Cape Canaveral by the end of 2009. The deadline passed and it didn't happen.
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“And then later this year we'll be launching our big rocket from Cape Canaveral.”
— Elon Musk · Aug 11, 2009 · Charlie Rose (August 11, 2009), video, ~00:04:59 00:04:59 ↗
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT @ 00:04:59 — CHARLIE ROSE (AUGUST 11, 2009), VIDEO, ~00:04:59
What actually happened
Falcon 9 made its first flight from Cape Canaveral on Jun 4 2010, about five months after the 2009 deadline. Wikipedia: Falcon 9 Flight 1 (Jun 4 2010) ↗
The Progression
Aug 11, 2009
The promise: “And then later this year we'll be launching our big rocket from Cape Canaveral.” · Charlie Rose (August 11, 2009), video, ~00:04:59 00:04:59 ↗
Dec 31, 2009
Deadline passed. Falcon 9 made its first flight from Cape Canaveral on Jun 4 2010, about five months after the 2009 deadline. Wikipedia: Falcon 9 Flight 1 (Jun 4 2010) ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Missed · 6,129 days past due. Never happened.
On Charlie Rose in August 2009 Elon Musk said SpaceX would launch Falcon 9 from Cape Canaveral later that year. It first flew on June 4 2010.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-10-12- [VIDEO] Charlie Rose (August 11, 2009), video, ~00:04:59 @ 00:04:59
- [TRANSCRIPT] Charlie Rose, August 11, 2009 — Elon Musk Archive transcript @ 00:04:59
SpaceX’s record
Delivered
31
38% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
50
Deadline passed, still no-show.
More Starship and SpaceX rocket predictions
- Starship Flight 15 datePending
- Starship orbital refueling: demo promised by end of 2026Pending
- How many Starships in 2026? Elon says ~10 morePending
- Starship ship catch by the tower: moved 2 times so farPending
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- Starship reflight: first reused ship by Mar 31, 2027?Pending
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- Starship daily flights: once a day by Aug 4, 2027?Pending
- Starship landing and reuse: promised 2023, moved 3 timesPending
- When will Starship carry humans? Elon says by end of 2027Pending
- Starship rapid reusability: full reflight by end of 2027?Pending
- Starship reaches a weekly or twice-weekly launch cadence inPending
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