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Falcon 9 first stage lands intact within a year (said Nov

Elon Musk promised Falcon 9 first stage lands intact within a year (said Nov 2015) by Nov 6, 2016. It happened on time.

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“I think within the next year we'll be able to land the rocket intact”
— Elon Musk · Nov 6, 2015 · Baron Investment Conference (November 6, 2015), video, ~00:41:38 00:41:38 ↗
Video: Baron Investment Conference (November 6, 2015), video, ~00:41:38
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT @ 00:41:38 — BARON INVESTMENT CONFERENCE (NOVEMBER 6, 2015), VIDEO, ~00:41:38
What actually happened

On December 21, 2015, the Falcon 9 first stage on the ORBCOMM-2 flight landed intact at Landing Zone 1, six weeks later. Wikipedia: Falcon 9 Flight 20 (first landing, Dec 21, 2015) ↗

The Progression

Nov 6, 2015
The promise: “I think within the next year we'll be able to land the rocket intact” · Baron Investment Conference (November 6, 2015), video, ~00:41:38 00:41:38 ↗
Dec 21, 2015
Delivered — on time. On December 21, 2015, the Falcon 9 first stage on the ORBCOMM-2 flight landed intact at Landing Zone 1, six weeks later. Wikipedia: Falcon 9 Flight 20 (first landing, Dec 21, 2015) ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Delivered · on time. It happened.

At the Baron Investment Conference in November 2015 Elon Musk said SpaceX would land a Falcon 9 rocket intact within a year. It did so six weeks later.

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Receipts

LAST CHECKED 2026-10-12

SpaceX’s record

Delivered
31
38% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
50
Deadline passed, still no-show.
Still open
43
On the clock now. All 124 SpaceX claims →

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