Missed
Starship full reusability of booster and ship by 2025
“I think it's a very high probability of achieving full reusability next year”
Missed
Five or six more Starship flights in 2024 (missed)
Elon Musk promised Five or six more Starship flights in 2024 by the end of 2024. The deadline passed and it didn't happen.
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“we're hoping to do at least another maybe five or six flights this year”
— Elon Musk · Mar 25, 2024 · Abundance360 Summit (March 25, 2024), video, ~00:26:41 00:26:41 ↗
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT @ 00:26:41 — ABUNDANCE360 SUMMIT (MARCH 25, 2024), VIDEO, ~00:26:41
What actually happened
After March 25, 2024 Starship flew three more times that year (Flights 4, 5 and 6 in June, October and November), not five or six. Wikipedia: List of Starship launches ↗
The Progression
Mar 25, 2024
The promise: “we're hoping to do at least another maybe five or six flights this year” · Abundance360 Summit (March 25, 2024), video, ~00:26:41 00:26:41 ↗
Dec 31, 2024
Deadline passed. After March 25, 2024 Starship flew three more times that year (Flights 4, 5 and 6 in June, October and November), not five or six. Wikipedia: List of Starship launches ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Missed · 650 days past due. Never happened.
At the March 2024 Abundance360 summit Elon Musk said SpaceX hoped to fly Starship at least five or six more times that year. It flew three more times in 2024.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-10-12- [VIDEO] Abundance360 Summit (March 25, 2024), video, ~00:26:41 @ 00:26:41
- [TRANSCRIPT] Abundance360 Summit (March 25, 2024) — Elon Musk Archive transcript @ 00:26:41
SpaceX’s record
Delivered
31
38% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
50
Deadline passed, still no-show.
More Starship and SpaceX rocket predictions
- Starship Flight 15 datePending
- Starship orbital refueling: demo promised by end of 2026Pending
- How many Starships in 2026? Elon says ~10 morePending
- Starship ship catch by the tower: moved 2 times so farPending
- SpaceX demonstrates full Starship reusability in 2026 (stillPending
- Starship reflight: first reused ship by Mar 31, 2027?Pending
- Starships landing on the Moon within about three years (byPending
- Starship daily flights: once a day by Aug 4, 2027?Pending
- Starship landing and reuse: promised 2023, moved 3 timesPending
- When will Starship carry humans? Elon says by end of 2027Pending
- Starship rapid reusability: full reflight by end of 2027?Pending
- Starship reaches a weekly or twice-weekly launch cadence inPending
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