Pending
Pending
New Tesla Roadster demo postponed to October 15, 2026
“New Tesla Roadster Unveil 10.01”
goalposts: 2026-10-01 (New Tesla Roadster Unveil 10.01) → 2026-10-15 (postponed by 2 weeks / QT Tesla Oct 15) · moved 1×
Elon Musk promised Semi shipping in 2022 and Cybertruck in 2023 by the end of 2023. It happened on time.
First Tesla? Our referral includes 3 months of FSD (Supervised) for first-time buyers.Get a Tesla →
Get an email when this verdict changes. The Daily Verdict covers every change on the board, this one included, and only goes out on days something happens.
“Tesla 500 mile range Semi Truck starts shipping this year, Cybertruck next year”
— Elon Musk · Aug 9, 2022 · @elonmusk, 2022-08-09 ↗
See his original post on XLoads Elon's actual tweet, right here.
Show ▾
What actually happened
Musk said the Semi would start shipping in 2022 and Cybertruck in 2023. Tesla delivered the first Semis to PepsiCo on December 1 2022 and the first Cybertrucks on November 30 2023. Reuters Dec 2 2022 — Musk delivers first Tesla Semi ↗
The Progression
Aug 9, 2022
The promise: “Tesla 500 mile range Semi Truck starts shipping this year, Cybertruck next year” · @elonmusk, 2022-08-09 ↗
Nov 30, 2023
Delivered — on time. Musk said the Semi would start shipping in 2022 and Cybertruck in 2023. Tesla delivered the first Semis to PepsiCo on December 1 2022 and the first Cybertrucks on November 30 2023. Reuters Dec 2 2022 — Musk delivers first Tesla Semi ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Delivered · on time. It happened.
In August 2022 Elon Musk tweeted that the 500-mile Semi would start shipping that year and Cybertruck the next. Both hit those dates, years after their original targets.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-10-11- [TWEET] @elonmusk, 2022-08-09
Tesla’s record
Delivered
70
53% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
63
Deadline passed, still no-show.
More Cybertruck predictions
- Cybertruck release date: promised 2022, moved 2 timesDelivered · Late
- Is the Cybertruck bulletproof? What Elon promised vs realityDelivered
- Cybertruck sales: Elon promised 250,000 a year by 2025Missed
- Cybertruck as a boat: Elon said it could cross seasMissed
- Tesla Cybertruck price: $39,900 promised, $60,990 at launchCancelled
- Cybertruck window break: the 'shatterproof' glass, missedMissed
Read next
Also Tesla, resolves soonest
PendingAlso Tesla, resolves soonest
Pending
Pending
Owner cars added to robotaxi network next year (2026)
“I'd say confidently next year. I'm not sure when next year, but confidently next year, people would be able…”
Also Tesla, resolves soonest
Pending
Pending
Optimus high-volume external production 2026
“In 2026, ramping up production quite a bit. And at that point, we'll be providing Optimus robots to outside…”
/// The Daily Verdict
Know the moment a prediction lands — or doesn't.
One email a day, only when something changes: a new promise, a blown deadline, a goalpost move, or a rare on-time delivery. No spam, instant unsubscribe.
Discussion