AI illustration: At least 10 billion humanoid robots by 2040
Pending

Elon Musk: 10 billion humanoid robots by 2040 (still pending)

Elon Musk promised At least 10 billion humanoid robots by 2040 by the end of 2040. It hasn't happened yet, with 5,194 days left.

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“If you say like 2040, probably there are more humanoid robots than there are people. So on the order of 10 billion ... there'll be at least 10 billion humanoid robots.”
— Elon Musk · Oct 29, 2024 · Reuters, Oct 29 2024: Musk at FII Riyadh ↗
The fine print

Full sweep 2026-10-11. Quote matched against the cited transcript/report.

The Progression

Oct 29, 2024
The promise: “If you say like 2040, probably there are more humanoid robots than there are people. So on the order of 10 billion ... there'll be at least 10 billion humanoid robots.” · Reuters, Oct 29 2024: Musk at FII Riyadh ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Pending · 5,194 days left. Still waiting.

At the Future Investment Initiative in October 2024 Elon Musk said there would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots by 2040, priced at $20,000-$25,000.

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Receipts

LAST CHECKED 2026-10-11

Tesla’s record

Delivered
70
53% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
63
Deadline passed, still no-show.
Still open
37
On the clock now. All 170 Tesla claims →

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