Missed
SpaceX spacesuit design unveiled later in 2015
“Our spacesuit design is finally coming together and will also be unveiled later this year”
Missed
Mars transport architecture presented around the end of 2015
Elon Musk promised Mars transport architecture presented around the end of 2015 by the end of 2015. The deadline passed and it didn't happen.
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“The Mars transport system will be a completely new architecture. Am hoping to present that towards the end of this year”
What actually happened
Musk first presented the Mars architecture (the Interplanetary Transport System) at the IAC in Guadalajara on September 27, 2016, about nine months after the end of 2015. Wikipedia: SpaceX Interplanetary Transport System (unveiled Sep 27, 2016) ↗
The Progression
Jan 6, 2015
The promise: “The Mars transport system will be a completely new architecture. Am hoping to present that towards the end of this year” · Reddit AMA: I am Elon Musk, CEO/CTO of a rocket company (r/IAmA, Jan 5 2015): Reddit comment by u/ElonMuskOfficial (2015-01-06 01:58 UTC) ↗
Dec 31, 2015
Deadline passed. Musk first presented the Mars architecture (the Interplanetary Transport System) at the IAC in Guadalajara on September 27, 2016, about nine months after the end of 2015. Wikipedia: SpaceX Interplanetary Transport System (unveiled Sep 27, 2016) ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Missed · 3,938 days past due. Never happened.
In his January 2015 Reddit AMA Elon Musk said he hoped to present SpaceX's Mars transport architecture towards the end of 2015. It was unveiled in September 2016.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-10-12SpaceX’s record
Delivered
31
38% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
50
Deadline passed, still no-show.
More Mars and Moon predictions
- People back on the Moon and uncrewed Starships on Mars withinPending
- First crewed Mars mission: ~12 people by end of 2029?Pending
- When will humans go to Mars? Elon's latest date: 2031Pending
- SpaceX Moon landing: Elon says people there by end of 2031Pending
- Elon Musk: humans on Mars in 5 to 10 years (still pending)Pending
- Elon Musk's Mars city: self-sustaining 'ASAP', trackedPending
- 1 million people on Mars: Elon's target, trackedPending
- Elon Musk's Mars timeline: humans by 2024, then 2026, missedMissed
- Red Dragon to Mars: Elon promised an uncrewed 2018 landingCancelled
- Elon Musk Mars predictions: 'best case 10 years' in 2011Missed
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