Missed
Starship launch capability at Cape 39A and an ocean platform by end of 2022
“hopefully by the end of this year we will have a launch capability at cape Kennedy at 39A and on one of the…”
Elon Musk promised A Starship and Super Heavy every month by end of 2022 by the end of 2022. The deadline passed and it didn't happen.
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“And I think by the end of this year we'll be able to produce a ship and a booster per month.”
— Elon Musk · Feb 10, 2022 · SpaceX Starship Update (February 10, 2022), video, ~01:14:08 01:14:08 ↗
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT @ 01:14:08 — SPACEX STARSHIP UPDATE (FEBRUARY 10, 2022), VIDEO, ~01:14:08
What actually happened
SpaceX had not flown a single integrated Starship by the end of 2022, and production ran far below one ship plus one booster a month. Wikipedia: SpaceX Starship development ↗
The Progression
Feb 10, 2022
The promise: “And I think by the end of this year we'll be able to produce a ship and a booster per month.” · SpaceX Starship Update (February 10, 2022), video, ~01:14:08 01:14:08 ↗
Dec 31, 2022
Deadline passed. SpaceX had not flown a single integrated Starship by the end of 2022, and production ran far below one ship plus one booster a month. Wikipedia: SpaceX Starship development ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Missed · 1,381 days past due. Never happened.
At the February 2022 Starship update Elon Musk said that by the end of the year SpaceX would be able to produce a ship and a booster per month.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-10-12- [VIDEO] SpaceX Starship Update (February 10, 2022), video, ~01:14:08 @ 01:14:08
- [TRANSCRIPT] SpaceX Starship Update, February 10, 2022 — Elon Musk Archive transcript @ 01:14:08
SpaceX’s record
Delivered
31
38% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
50
Deadline passed, still no-show.
More Starship and SpaceX rocket predictions
- Starship Flight 15 datePending
- Starship orbital refueling: demo promised by end of 2026Pending
- How many Starships in 2026? Elon says ~10 morePending
- Starship ship catch by the tower: moved 2 times so farPending
- SpaceX demonstrates full Starship reusability in 2026 (stillPending
- Starship reflight: first reused ship by Mar 31, 2027?Pending
- Starships landing on the Moon within about three years (byPending
- Starship daily flights: once a day by Aug 4, 2027?Pending
- Starship landing and reuse: promised 2023, moved 3 timesPending
- When will Starship carry humans? Elon says by end of 2027Pending
- Starship rapid reusability: full reflight by end of 2027?Pending
- Starship reaches a weekly or twice-weekly launch cadence inPending
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