Pending
More than half of new US vehicle production electric within 10 years (by 2027)
“Probably in 10 years, more than a half of new vehicle production is electric in the United States.”
Pending
Almost all new cars autonomous within 10 years (by 2027)
Elon Musk promised Almost all new cars autonomous within 10 years (by 2027) by Jul 15, 2027. It hasn't happened yet, with 276 days left.
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“I think almost all cars produced will be autonomous in 10 years. Almost all. It will be rare to find one that is not in 10 years.”
— Elon Musk · Jul 15, 2017 · National Governors Association (July 15, 2017), video, ~00:13:40 00:13:40 ↗
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT @ 00:13:40 — NATIONAL GOVERNORS ASSOCIATION (JULY 15, 2017), VIDEO, ~00:13:40
What actually happened
Pending. By July 2027 almost every new car produced would need to be autonomous. As of 2026, only a small share of new cars can drive themselves unsupervised. National Governors Association, July 15, 2017 ↗
The Progression
Jul 15, 2017
The promise: “I think almost all cars produced will be autonomous in 10 years. Almost all. It will be rare to find one that is not in 10 years.” · National Governors Association (July 15, 2017), video, ~00:13:40 00:13:40 ↗
Today · Oct 12, 2026
Status: Pending · 276 days left. Still waiting.
At the National Governors Association in July 2017 Elon Musk said almost all cars produced would be autonomous within 10 years.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-10-12- [VIDEO] National Governors Association (July 15, 2017), video, ~00:13:40 @ 00:13:40
- [TRANSCRIPT] National Governors Association (July 15, 2017) — Elon Musk Archive transcript @ 00:13:40
Tesla’s record
Delivered
84
47% of resolved claims delivered.
Missed
94
Deadline passed, still no-show.
More Full Self-Driving predictions
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- Tesla cross-country self-driving: promised for 2017Partial
- FSD Unsupervised: TX and CA in 2025, partly deliveredPartial
- Tesla Banish: auto-parking after drop-off, partly deliveredPartial
- FSD update: the 'step-change' Elon promised for Sep 2025Delivered · Late
- FSD v14: Elon promised 10x the parameters by Sep 2025Missed
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← More than half of new US vehicle production electric within 10 years (by 2027)
First Neuralink in a human in about six months (said Nov 2022) →
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