Delivered · Late
Cybertruck production late 2021
“The company anticipates that production of the lower-priced Cybertrucks should begin in late 2021 with the …”
goalposts: 2021 → 2022 → late 2022 → 2023 · moved 3×
“The only decision you need to make when you come to one of our Tesla stations is, do you prefer faster or free?”
▶ WATCH HIM SAY IT — TESLA BATTERY SWAP FULL PRESENTATION — RECORDING OF THE JUNE 20 2013 BATTERY-SWAP DEMO EVENT, HAWTHORNE/LA (UPLOADED JUN 21 2013)
The fine print
Famous older prediction missing from dataset.
The Progression
Jun 20, 2013
The promise: “The only decision you need to make when you come to one of our Tesla stations is, do you prefer faster or free?” · Tesla Battery Swap Full Presentation — recording of the June 20 2013 battery-swap demo event, Hawthorne/LA (uploaded Jun 21 2013) ↗
Dec 31, 2013
Deadline passed.
Today · Jun 12, 2026
Status: Missed · 4,546 days past due. Never happened.
At a June 2013 demo Musk swapped a Model S battery in about 90 seconds and promised swap stations alongside Superchargers, starting on the LA-San Francisco corridor by end of 2013. Only a single invite-only pilot at Harris Ranch ever opened, and Tesla quietly killed the program by 2016 — making this one of the clearest abandoned Musk promises.
Receipts
LAST CHECKED 2026-06-11- [VIDEO] Tesla Battery Swap Full Presentation — recording of the June 20 2013 battery-swap demo event, Hawthorne/LA (uploaded Jun 21 2013)
- [REPORT] CNN Money — Tesla unveils 90-second battery-pack swap
- [REPORT] Wikipedia — Tesla battery station (program history)
More from the feed
Delivered · Late
Missed
Delivered · Late
Cybertruck volume production in 2022
“If we get lucky, we'll be able to do a few deliveries toward the end of this year, but I expect volume prod…”
goalposts: 2022 → 2023 → late 2023 · moved 2×
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